Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
SB ($12.53)
Hero ($10.82)
UTG ($18.38)
CO ($26.37)
BTN ($19.08)
Dealt to Hero A♠ T♠
UTG calls $0.10, fold, fold, SB raises to $0.40, Hero calls $0.30, UTG calls $0.30
FLOP ($1.20) 3♥ A♥ 2♠
SB bets $0.90, Hero calls $0.90, UTG folds
TURN ($3) 3♥ A♥ 2♠ K♠
SB bets $3, Hero folds
SB wins $2.85
limper is 53/6, SB is 54/17
calling on the turn sux, because if I miss the river I have no idea where I stand and he could try to bluff me with an allin pot bet, but can I shove the turn here? I was discussing this hand with a friend and he said that such a player often pots when he gets scared of the board (as in holding TT-QQ here), while he bets small/checks if he has monster.
On that turn I have 20% equity against AK/set, 34-ish against A3/A2/AQ/AJ and i'm dominating pretty much all FD/SD and lower Aces