[Closed] SH100 AKo sqz spot

Originally posted by Gerv
- 56% WTSD (18),

- 1 out of 7 fold contibet.

- Frequent peeling flop

- loose passive station

Do you really want to bluff for stacks?

I dont know about loose passive station in regard if that is true but I certainly thought he would be calling Flop way too often to proceed to fold Turn

And I also don't like to c/f nor c/c thus be in guessing mode or am i thinking wrongly here?

I think you need to bet a bit smaller on the turn if you want to be absolutely certain that villain will call.

Originally posted by Gerv
I dont know about loose passive station in regard if that is true but I certainly thought he would be calling Flop way too often to proceed to fold Turn

And I also don't like to c/f nor c/c thus be in guessing mode or am i thinking wrongly here?

My point was that you're playing against a fish with >50% WTSD, and your're trying to exploit him by first building a massive pot and then bluff him off some kind of valuehand.

I understand your logic, but I think it's the wrong player to try a play like this.

On the flop if he calls a hand like KJ it's great for you, because you're betting for value. with A high.
But since he obviously likes to go to SD, by betting on the turn you will get him to fold KJ - but he will not fold hands like 2nd pair, maybe even 3rd pair.
But since he appears to be passive you can just check the turn.
If he bets you're probably beat, but I actually expect him to check behind almost always.
So sometimes you're still ahead on the turn and are able to check it down, and sometimes you hit and can even valuebet an A or K river.

^^
Hard to argue with this. I see the idea behind the small cbet (because we don't expect him to fold often or we don't think the sizing will influence him 1 way or the other) but if that's the case, my preferred non-balancing line is: check when we miss and bet biggish when we hit.

The fact that he's passive means that we get there sometimes even without betting.

I think you need to bet a bit smaller on the turn if you want to be absolutely certain that villain will call.

Kruppe, you make me smile.