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[Closed] [05/1] KQs big draw

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abzupfer
Joined: 13.04.2006

Known players: (for a description of vp$ip, pfr, ats, folded bb, af, wts, wsd or hands click here)   
[tg]Position:hands/vp$ip/pfr/af/wts/ats/foldbb/w$sd;BU:290/60/27/0.8/48/60/2/38;CO:///////;MP2:10/100/50/1.3/56/0/0/80;[/tg]
0.50/1 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Texas Grabem 1.7 by www.pokerstrategy.cc.

Preflop: Hero is CO with K♠, Q♠
MP2 calls, MP3 folds, Hero raises, BU 3-bets, 2 folds, MP2 calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (10.50 SB) 2♠, J♣, T♠ (3 players)
MP2 checks, Hero checks, BU bets, MP2 folds, Hero raises, BU 3-bets, Hero caps, BU calls.

Turn: (9.25 BB) 7♥ (2 players)
Hero checks, BU bets, Hero calls.

River: (11.25 BB) 4♠ (2 players)
Hero checks, BU bets, Hero raises, BU calls.

Final Pot: 15.25 BB

On the flop I have 2 overcards, OESD plus Flushdraw totalling about 15 outs; is it correct to cap against one opponent even if I am out of position? I will definitely see the river and make my draw in >50% if I am right ..

check-turn should be better because I dont see much fold equity here.

checkraise or bet-3bet river? I think he might just call a bet due to the possible flush. With a straight I would be more inclined to b-3b.


2 replies
frzl
Joined: 25.04.2006

i like it but i think the river is close... your check on the turn is really suspicious after the flop cap. it´s pretty obvious that you are drawing.
bu is passive so i think i would prefer the river donk. but i´m often too weak in those spots ;)


I'm not sure if the flopplay is good here. You have the equity for it but telling him what you have with the flopcap and turn check -EV. If he just calls your check/raise and you miss the turn you often pay 2 BB which is again -EV.
Against this opponent I prefer the passiv line with check/call. If you want to raise then just call the 3-bet because you have 0 fold equity with a cap and a turncheck is too easy to read.