Is this a good fold? I think i would 3 bet with jacks... thoughts?
(villan was 16/8)
Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:
$80/$160 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Known players:
[tg]MP3$1385.00:///////;CO$2135.00:///////;BU$1805.00:///////;SB$4490.00:///////;BB (Hero)$1335.00:///////;MP2$2350.00:///////;[/tg]
Preflop: Hero is BB with T:s, T:c.
MP2 raises to $400.00, 5 folds, 4 folds, 3 folds, 2 folds, Hero folds, MP2 gets uncalled bet back.
Final Pot: $240.
I personally would shove over MP2. Let me explain why:
1. TT is a robust hand!
2. The reward is pretty big (4BB) when your stack is 8.3BB this is an almost 50% increase in chips.
3. The risk is not that great, at the moment you are not in a money position and you are getting low on blinds. You need a double up to bring you back into the game.
4. Granted from your stats on the player he probably isn't raising light from MP2, but are your stats filtered?
3/4 say a push is a good play. Therefore this indicates a shove IMO.
Edit:
I also did an ICM calculation and if I did everything correctly, you can push in this spot with as low as 88.
this is very close! considering we are 6 handed i think you can shove TT+ and AK because i dont see even a tight player open folding 77/88 utg 6 handed.
and we are getting good odds because we are short so we dont mind racing againts overs in this spot.
99 is a clear fold for me here though.
