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[Closed] $6.50 Almost bubble push

7 Posts
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Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, 6.5 Tournament, 200/400 Blinds (5 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB (t2998)
UTG (t5287)
Hero (MP) (t2225)
Button (t2420)
SB (t570)

Hero's M: 3.71

Preflop: Hero is MP with 10, J
1 fold, Hero bets t2225 (All-In), 2 folds, BB calls t1825

Flop: (t4650) K, 8, Q (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: (t4650) 7 (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: (t4650) 4 (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: t4650


6 replies

I will definitely push this if we are on the BU.

i think on the CO this will be very close for me.

Have we been getting abused by UTG? do we get walks?

I think in game i will push this except if the table has been generally passive and i've not been put under too much pressure to make a move.


Another fact for consideration is that SB will call us pretty wide


SB has only 1.5 BB, we are really short, J10s is a nice hand to push here


The main thing I am trying to find out is whether these 2 things affect the value of our push here:

- SB is so short and is calling a lot
- we are close to the bubble


yes. If SB if calling really wide here, say 100%, then this becomes a clear fold.

I guess after thinking about this again, we have to fold JTs here because SB is probably calling and should call 100% here.


hazzelde
Joined: 27.04.2008

I think this is a very close spot. It mostly depends on how much fold equity you have against BU and BB. SB will obviously call most of his hands, which is not good for us but not terrible either, since we're getting a very decent price against him.

Putting BU and BB on tight ranges of 9% and 15%, shoving is slightly -EV (-.15). However, you will also lose a little less equity if you go through the blinds in the next hands because you will accumulate chips by shoving. So after all I think that shoving is fine with reasonable tight BU and BB, whereas you should fold facing looser opponents.