Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($238)
BB ($315)
Hero ($100)
CO ($134)
BTN ($124)
Dealt to Hero J♠ K♣
Hero raises to $3.50, CO calls $3.50, fold, fold, fold
FLOP ($8.50) 8♠ 7♣ J♣
Hero bets $5, CO raises to $18, Hero calls $13
TURN ($44.50) 8♠ 7♣ J♣ J♥
Hero checks, CO bets $27, Hero calls $27
RIVER ($98.50) 8♠ 7♣ J♣ J♥ 9♠
Hero checks, CO bets $86.15 (AI), Hero calls $51.50 (AI)
villain is 4bb/100 reg nl100; 22/16/2, 720 hnds, 5% 3b, raise cb 10%. Surely capable of some moves with this winrate(?). No specific history althoug villain calling me IP a lot during this session and generally messing with me. (I moved soon after this hand...)
villains range for raising flop: {overpairs/air/77/88/78s/AJ/
draws/9Ts}
We are doing so/so vs {AA, KK, QQ, 88-77, 55-44, AcQc, AJs, AcTc, Ac9c, Ad5d, KJs, QJs, QcTc, 87s, AJo, AJs, KJs, QJs} with around 40% eQ.
Turn improves our hand a lot. Now we are mainly worried about AJ/77/88/9Ts but I dont think we can fold?
Not sure about river. Dont think he would play TT like this so I think his range is pretty polarized.
Since he pots it I guess we could fold. Our hand looks a lot like a scared overpair or Jx trying to induce, so Im not sure villain can expect us to fold much (in which case it starts to look even more like a v/bet).
I hate life in this spot.