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[Closed] $16 folding war K5s in BB

4 Posts
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13BlackCats
Joined: 16.08.2008

Poker Stars $15+$1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t300/t600 Blinds + t50 - 4 players - View hand 980234
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

CO: t4040 M = 3.67
BTN: t1319 M = 1.20
SB: t6649 M = 6.04
Hero (BB): t1492 M = 1.36

Pre Flop: (t1100) Hero is BB with K :club: 5 :club:
2 folds, SB raises to t6599 all in

SB pushes ATC so it seems like a clear call
if I fold here and next hand in SB I will be left with 492
if BTN does the same he will be left with 269 when I will be all in in the next BB


3 replies
arinho
Joined: 30.11.2007

I call this with 80%...

would fold the worst hands because you can still catch sth in the next rounds and get back....also the other SS can bust before you


The ICM isn't really designed for extreme folding wars, but it is not clear to me how that should affect your decision here. So, I think it is a reasonable guide.

Fold: 842 chips, 0.118, SD: $13.43
Win: 3084 chips, 0.2548
Lose: 0 chips, 0
Tie: 1542 chips, 0.1742

Equity needed: 46.31%
Chip odds: 27.3%
Risk premium: 19%

I would put the chip leader on a range close to ATC. K5s has 56% equity against a random hand, which suggests that this is a clear call, while trashy hands like J2o or 95o would be folds.


chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Somehow I missed this thread. This is a very interesting hand, for that reason I just want to add that OP you have all but answered your own question: we cannot take part in the folding war as we will be forced all in first