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[Closed] [NL100 sh] QQ overpaire against flop raise

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Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($294)
BB ($100)
Hero ($101)
BTN ($122)

Dealt to Hero Q :heart: Q :spade:

Hero raises to $4, BTN calls $4, fold, fold

FLOP ($9.50) 7 :heart: 2 :diamond: 9 :spade:

Hero bets $6.30, BTN raises to $15, Hero calls $8.70

TURN ($39.50) 7 :heart: 2 :diamond: 9 :spade: J :heart:

Hero checks, BTN bets $26.50, Hero folds

BTN wins $37.52

Hi,
I have only 77 hands on villain but he seems serious, he plays 20 17, 4 af.

I don’t know when to fold this hand… Go broke on the flop seem to be overplayed against a serious villain, it smells like a set. Open fold seems to be weak and workable… I choose to call and fold on a second barrel, but it doesn’t seem to be optimal as well…
What’s the better line? Fold on the re-raise? Or call and call turn?


1 reply
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Hi MadameSiegrist,

welcome to the NL BSS Gold Hand Evaluation Forums!

Well, what you do in a hand like this is completely determined by the assumptions you make.

If you think his raisingrange on the flop is very strong (only sets) you can easily muck the hand on the flop.
I think there can also be some bluffs in there and maybe he even raises worse hands like JJ/TT for value.
3betting doesn't accomplish much vs this range (we get it in against better hands and scare away the bluffs) so I think the call is the best line.

On the turn once more you have to make assumptions about what range he has once he bets.
Even though T8 got there I'd call once more. The reason is, that I believe most players on NL100 that started bluffing on a flop like this, will bet once more on the turn but get scared by the time you call again.
So my plan is to c/c the turn and c/f the river because I think he gives up his bluffs most of the time, you can of course also argue that our line looks weak so he might be inclined to bluff again on the river.

Unfortunately I can not state a specific "best line" for this spot.

Best regards,
Phil