Updated on 21 Feb 26 by
Barry Carter
Poker Expert

How to reduce tournament downswings

Dara O'Kearney shares how he likes to keep MTT downswings to a minimum.

poker
How do you avoid this?

I often get asked how to reduce variance when on a downswing.

There are lots of suggestions, including fewer tables and dropping down the stakes. Both of which will help a lot of players.

My suggestion, however, would be to play smaller fields. If you go on a variance calculator, it will agree with me, but I think most of the benefits are mindset ones.

You'll get more experience of playing second last tables and final tables, which will be very valuable when you're ready to tackle the bigger fields again and make a deep run.

Why smaller fields improve consistency

poker
Dara O'Kearney

The first online tournaments I played were single tables. When I started dipping my toes in MTTs, I felt very comfortable around bubbles and on final tables as I had a good, practised knowledge of ICM. At some point, STTs pretty much died, and I found myself just playing MTTs with huge fields.

I distinctly remember making a big final table after a prolonged drought and feeling very unsure as I was out of practice. That's when I realised I needed to start playing more smaller field MTTs, even if my expectation was lower as it gave me more practice at the business end.

It doesn't have to be all one or the other: you should always play a certain amount of both, but you can adjust the ratio based on how you're running.

It also depends on how badly downswings affect you: I know a few pros who only play smaller fields because downswings and the variance of the massive runner fields stress them out too much.

You can get Dara's free book on effective poker study by joining his mailing list

Poker Expert

Barry Carter is the editor of PokerStrategy.com and the co-author of The Mental Game of Poker 1 & 2, Poker Satellite Strategy, PKO Poker Strategy, Endgame Poker Strategy, GTO Poker Simplified, Mystery Bounty Poker Strategy and Beyond GTO. In 2025, he won the Global Poker Awards for Best Book and Twitter Personality of the Year.