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[Closed] NL 200 Deep Nut Flush

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beardsell
Joined: 01.03.2009

Vilain is a maniac, he plays 36/32/4 with WTS of 30% and atm to steal of 58%
So i decided to c/r the flop to get action vs this maniac because he was likely to call me down if i hit but i do mix it up with calling
he also has c-bet of like 95% ( he always c-b in HU pots)

but he's also not a completed retarded, he has a winrate of 4.5BB/100 in 12k hands of NL 200 SH but he's probably just running so good

so i wonder how should i bet river to extract max value vs such a guy cuz i rep A) flush B) Straight C) FH
id not be very likely to bluff here lol
i thought he would chek behind 55+, and call stuff like lower flush or idk what
so do you think it's more profitable to chek/call it, he can maybe transform weak made hands in bluff

Poker Stars $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em $0.40 Ante - 6 players - View hand 1084549
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

MP: $200.00
CO: $496.25
BTN: $751.55
Hero (SB): $512.40
BB: $196.10
UTG: $500.00

Pre Flop: ($5.40) Hero is SB with 9 :club: A :club:
3 folds, BTN raises to $6, Hero calls $5, 1 fold

Flop: ($16.40) 2 :heart: 3 :club: 4 :club: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $10, Hero raises to $34, BTN calls $24

Turn: ($84.40) J :club: (2 players)
Hero bets $58, BTN calls $58

River: ($200.40) J :heart: (2 players)
Hero bets $117, BTN folds


2 replies
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Originally posted by beardsell
Vilain is a maniac, he plays 36/32/4 with WTS of 30% and atm to steal of 58%
So i decided to c/r the flop to get action vs this maniac because he was likely to call me down if i hit but i do mix it up with calling
he also has c-bet of like 95% ( he always c-b in HU pots)

but he's also not a completed retarded, he has a winrate of 4.5BB/100 in 12k hands of NL 200 SH but he's probably just running so good

Why do you think he's a maniac?? He could as well be a good LAG.

It's tough to say what he's doing with medium strength hands on the river, but imo he's going to check back with them.
In fact I think you have the highest chance that he turns some of them into a bluff if you blockbet something like $60 because he knows he can't call but he might think he could get you to fold some hands - even then he's unlikely to bluff because he can not really rep full houses, but imo it's the only way to win any more money.

By betting big he should even be able to fold low flushes whereas by betting the $60 he is probably not folding them.

If you assume he's a bad player I'd bet at least $170 because I expect him to fold all non-flush hands and call every single flush, so we get max value by betting big.


beardsell Topic starter
beardsell
Joined: 01.03.2009

yea well he was a true maniac, he had something like 95% c-bet flop, 90% turn and 90% river
he was always barrelling any piece of the board,, shits like gutshots,etc

umm, yeah I think a blockbet would have been profitable VS that kind of player because i really think he would have called smth like 77+ with his WTS of 30% and he would have been very tempted to raise them, putting me on a weak flush, a straight, or like 55-99


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