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NL100 KJs deep

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duder1n0
Joined: 07.07.2009

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

BTN: $47 (47 bb)
SB: $335.82 (335.8 bb)
BB: $227.20 (227.2 bb)
Hero (UTG): $168.50 (168.5 bb)
MP: $144.64 (144.6 bb)
CO: $47.74 (47.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with J K
Hero raises to $3, MP calls $3, 3 folds, BB calls $2

Flop: ($9.50) 9 9 7 (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $6.45, MP folds, BB raises to $16, Hero calls $9.55

Turn: ($41.50) Q (2 players)
BB bets $25, Hero calls $25

River: ($91.50) 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $40, BB calls $40

MP 25/22 90 hands

BB 23/17/6 after 197 hands
raise flop cbet 20% (1/5)
AFq F/T/R 32/22/10

Is it a good idea to bluff river? I thought he would probably bet 9x, so I can make him fold Ax (A:hX:h mainly), although I could be ahead some of his busted draws, like JTs...


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6 replies
double2
Joined: 04.11.2008

I think I'm folding flop, board is doubled and we might be against nutFD.


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey duder1n0,

Generally I agree with double2 here. Implied odds are always going to be damaged on paired texture + BB is repping a strong range here. Might be best just to fold the flop.

As played would fold turn for same reason.

Given we reach river.....it depends on how often you think villain is check-raising flop light imo. Given that he's check/raising flop multi-way I expect his range to be strong and that he's just going into check/call mode vs busted draws a lot on the river.

If you felt he could be airballing flop + turn a ton then yeah, I guess you should bluff.


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yoshiwa
Joined: 23.02.2009

As coming from HU , i have quite some dificulties visualising BB's range here.
Imean , what is a calling range from BB here?
As i would construct it it's heavily weighted towards PP , since AK/AQ will probably be a 3bet , and other premiums are just folds i guess.
Only additions i see to that are suited connectors , maybe just upto 98s or smth ,so like 89s -KQs .
I also figure even KJs is a fold for the bb?

So the BB's repping is veryyy narrow here.
For the few thousands of hands i played i noticed in sh people are kindof really straightforward when doing this kind of plays , i mean if i'm not carefull i'm playing the KK exactly the same as OP , only the R bet is a valuebet in my head , not a bluf.


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Yoshiwa,

Probably the decent broadways + premiums are squeezing.

Flatting range is likely to be a decent amount of PP's, but also SC's. Given the multi-way action I think guys will happily call with a selection of SC's and suited one-gappers. For this reason I think it's really not that difficult for BB to hold a 9x or 77.


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mlatasrb
Joined: 01.04.2012

Would it be better to bet river like 15$ and do the same with value
I think that on river his action is not dependent on our bet
size so I like more cheap bluff because it looks also as we want
Bluff induce.


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w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Originally posted by mlatasrb
Would it be better to bet river like 15$ and do the same with value
I think that on river his action is not dependent on our bet
size so I like more cheap bluff because it looks also as we want
Bluff induce.

Yeah it's a decent point imo. Since we don't expect him to have huge amount of mid-strength made hands, may aswell optimise price on bluff.


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