NL100 TT, turning our hand into a bluff on R?

axelphoney

Joined: 03.10.2009

Posts: 1,344

21.03.2012, 07:56 0

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($40.97)
BB ($100)
Hero ($190)
BTN ($148)

Dealt to Hero T♦ T♠

Hero raises to $3, BTN raises to $9, fold, fold, Hero calls $6

FLOP ($19.50) 9♠ 9♥ 5♥

Hero checks, BTN bets $12, Hero calls $12

TURN ($43.50) 9♠ 9♥ 5♥ A♥

Hero checks, BTN checks

RIVER ($43.50) 9♠ 9♥ 5♥ A♥ Q♥

Hero bets $25

villain: 33/29 - 500 hands, 10% 3bet overall, 7% btn

Call pre ok with these stacksizes?

As for postflop, would you consider a calldown against this LAGy guy on some board textures? (88% cbet flop, 59% tturn (17) )

As played, I think I can get him to fold any non-heart hand here very often, and I also think my sizing is good too, since a bigger bet might induce some herocalls from his side as the bet could look polarised in his eyes?

Thoughts?

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3 replies

_Anonymous_

22.03.2012, 10:03 0

I think it's a decent river bet for the reason that he's going to chk back a LOT of hands that beat you + agree the sizing is nice.

However (these stakes in particular) people will be quite inclined to pot control pair+heart hands OTT and prolly less inclined to semi-bluff big hearts. So his range does have plenty of flushes a lot of which he wont fold (I imagine he's going to have a lot of big cards as the PF 3better) so if he does have a heat it'll v likely be the K or J neither of which he folds. He might also think that as he is more likely to have the K or J than you (he has KK, JJ, AxKh way for frequently) and a LOT of your flushes are either 67/78/JT hh hands or pairs with hearts (TT or 88 with hearts a great example and I'm not sure how believable your value bet with those hands really is.

If he's reading hands that well I can see you getting hero'd here by a lot of things, so I think i'd prefer c/f

if there were less big hearts out I think I'd prefer it.

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