NL200 KJo

Ha risks 104$ to win 104 + 136 = 240$, so he needs 104/240 = 0.4333, 43% FE from you to be exploitive. So you have to defend 100-43 = 57% from your range on river.

So from about 100 combos you have to defend 57.

I tried to calculate with my range:

KTs+,K8s,K6s-K2s,T8s,95s,86s,75s,AsKs,AsJs,QsJs,AsTs,QsTs,JsTs,As9s,Qs9s,Js9s,Ts9s,As8s,Qs8s,Js8s,9s8s,As7s,9s7s,As6s,9s6s,As5s,6s5s,As4s,As3s,As2s,A9o,KTo+,K8o,K6o-K2o

It's 144 combos. (I don't defend passivly 86s,75s, 95s but you wrote it so I include them).

SO we have to defend 0.57 * 144 = 82 combos.

This is the strongest 57% range: KTs+,K8s,K5s,95s,86s,75s,AsKs,AsJs,AsTs,As9s,As8s,As7s,9s7s,As6s,As5s,As4s,As3s,As2s,A9o,KTo+,K8o, so I think we have to call KJ.

This was GTO.

I tried to calculate about his range too.

You get 30% potodds on river.

hu.pokerstrategy.com
Asztal: Ks9c7s5hAd
Részesedés Nyert Osztozás
MP2 65.04% 65.04% 0.00% { KK+, 99, 77, 55, AKs, A9s-A5s, KQs, K9s, K7s, K5s, T8s+, 97s, 86s+, 75s+, AsQs, AsJs, QsJs, AsTs, QsTs, JsTs, Qs9s, Js9s, Qs8s, Js8s, 9s8s, Qs6s, Js6s, Ts6s, 9s6s, Qs5s, Js5s, 6s5s, As4s, Qs4s, Js4s, As3s, Qs3s, Js3s, As2s, Qs2s, Js2s, AKo, A9o, A7o, KQo, K9o, K7o, JTo }
MP3 34.96% 34.96% 0.00% { KcJh }

I think he can definitely bet with this range on river. I began to calculate with 46% steal range, like this:
22+,A2s+,K2s+,Q2s+,J2s+,T6s+,96s+,86s+,76s,A2o+,K2o+,Q8o+,J8o+,T8o+,98o

hi.

1. If K2 K3 K4 is 8X3 = 24, then K6 = 8 and not 12.
2. 75 is not = to 10 combos
3. K5 is 6 combos
4. A9s = 2 combos? Why wouldn't you have all 9 combos of A9 here?

Anyway regardless, Ace is the most obvious bluff card and I think this is a snap. And KJo is definitely in the optimal defending range.

Big surprise I messed up the numbers.. ♦

Dunno why I forgot all combos of A9 and not just only A9s. We obv have those in our range OTR.