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Nl400 Aa

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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

IPoker, $2/$4 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 3 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $831.55 (207.9 bb)
Hero (BTN): $454.34 (113.6 bb)
SB: $400 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with A A
Hero raises to $8, SB folds, BB calls $4

Flop: ($18) T 4 3 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $12.60, BB calls $12.60

Turn: ($43.20) T (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $30.24, BB raises to $72, Hero calls $41.76

River: ($187.20) 9 (2 players)
BB bets $80, Hero raises to $361.74

Villain: 30/23
50/48 fold to cbet% (14 raise oop OTT, 43 sample)
48/37/27 ag%
26 WTS
45 WWSF

Some slightly relevant reads/obeservations:

Raise flop with nuts, regardless of board texture
Valuebets bad
Raised tpwk otf HU on one occasion
Raised turncbet w/ a gutshot
Has used ~1/2 pot size bet as a bluff
Views me as aggro

Given my reads I never put him on 44,33 here, he might not even have stronger tens, as I had seen him raise TPWK OTF when playing him HU. He does not however valuebet that good, but I can still def see him valuebetting Tx here.

Everything taken into considerating, good spot to turn our hand into a bluff and jam? Raising the nutier flushes seems pretty straight forward to me. But how about the weaker ones? would you raise them too?


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axelphoney Topic starter
axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

bump


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Axelphoney,

Given your reads we should probably be playing exploitatively against this villain. I.e we may not need to balance our river bluff-raises with flushes etc. If you thought he'd call with a Tx vs your weak flush then you wouldn't bluff-raise with AA here.

If your reads are accurate I don't see how this can be that bad unless villain is a calling station that is never folding Tx or a flush since I guess Tx is the most likely holding by the turn. That's the only downside to this play, we are essentially expecting villain to fold trips or a flush, and some guys just aren't going to.


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