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NL400 T9o, capped range in trouble

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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009
Oldschool Grinder

IPoker, $2/$4 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $426 (106.5 bb)
SB: $400 (100 bb)
Hero (BB): $598.15 (149.5 bb)
MP: $445.90 (111.5 bb)
CO: $414 (103.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 9 T
MP folds, CO raises to $8, 2 folds, Hero calls $4

Flop: ($18) 4 9 A (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $14.40, Hero calls $14.40

Turn: ($46.80) T (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $68, Hero calls $68

River: ($182.80) K (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $323.60 and is all-in,Hero?

Villain: 30/22
73/63/46(13) cbet% by street
53/39/38 ag%
(low sample, 870 hands)
Seems to be quite aggro in general, plays everything up to 2k and appears to be competent.

Worst hand you are calling OTT? After AT, T9 is the best hand I would have here given flop action.

He obv knows my range is capped here to pretty much those exact hands I mentioned and worse. So with that in mind how would construct your calling ranges for turn and river here?


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lnternet
Joined: 19.06.2012
PokerStrategist

Turn not sure what his overbetting range is like. With AJ-AK it's a bit thin, and 2pr and better aren't that many hands. So I think there is a chance he is bluff heavy there.

Your calling range without any reads on his range should be just around Ax. You fold 9x, 4x, pp, Khi, and call Ax, 9xhh, Txhh, 2pr. Perhaps you can fold the worst Ax like A2-A3 as well.

Raising makes sense to shove a very tight range of 87hh and similar combo draws alongside the few AT or 44 combos you have.

River is a good card for him to overbet because he has all the nuts (up to 16 QJ), sets (up to 12 44, 99, TT, AA), and high 2pair (up to 27 AK AT A9) in his range, and you have almost none of those, you most of the time have Ax with a low kicker on the river.

So with all your Ax you are in a tough spot. If you cant make a read on his river range (/he plays very well) 2pr like you have should be a slight winning call, so is a call. A8 probably folds and A5 calls.. but it's all too close for me to estimate without running some numbers.

Certainly a very annoying river spot but don't think you can fold 2pair without making the read that he doesn't bluff enough there.


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