Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

[Closed] 29 freeplay

3 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
378 Views
Rothko
Joined: 04.09.2009

Preflop: Hero is BB with 2, 9
4 folds, SB calls, Hero checks

Flop: (2 SB) 3, 7, 8 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets, SB raises, Hero calls

Turn: (3 BB) 10 (2 players)
SB bets, Hero calls

River: (5 BB) 4 (2 players)
SB bets, Hero raises, 1 fold

Total pot: $14 (7 BB) | Rake: $0.50

What about raising river without bluff catcher when we think oppo is betting a draw that not improve river?


2 replies
firsttsunami
Joined: 23.01.2006

i don't mind to attempt such a bluff but you can't actually represent not a lot of madehand as you would have probably raised with a T or with 2pair or straight on the turn against his draws. but nevertheless you could make him believe to have slowplayed a big hand and i think he could easily fold a lot of better hands like jx Qx and Kx :heart: Flushdraw.

The following range assumed:

K8s, Q8s, J8s-J7s, T6s+, 96s+, 85s+, 75s+, 65s, K8o-K7o, Q8o-Q7o, J8o-J7o, T7o+, 97o+, 86o+, 76o, Kd9h, Kh9d, Kh9s, Kh9c, Ks9h, Kc9h, Kd6h, Kh6d, Kh6s, Kh6c, Ks6h, Kc6h, Kh5d, Kh5c, Ks5h, Kh4d, Kh4c, Ks4h, Qd9h, Qh9d, Qh9s, Qh9c, Qs9h, Qc9h, JdTh, JhTd, JhTs, JhTc, JsTh, JcTh, Jd9h, Jh9d, Jh9s, Jh9c, Js9h, Jc9h, QhTh, JhTh, JcTc, Qh9h, Kh7h, Qh7h, Kh6h, Qh6h, Jh6h, Kh5h, Qh5h, Jh5h, Th5h, Ah4h, Kh4h, Qh4h, Jh4h, Th4h, 5h4h, Kh3h, Ah2h, Kh2h

according to the pokerstrategy equilab the hand distribution tells that he has king high and nothing in around 13% of the times and lowpair or worse in around 27% of the time. so it depends whether he can fold a 7 like 76. i didn't put the a high flushdraws in his range because i think he'd rather play passively and moreover he should have openraised Ax Preflop.

your success rate need to be 25%. without assuming that he is capable of folding pairs the bluff isn'T that good. speculative raise. close but won't cost you that much if you fail and he may believe that you delayed a hand.

are you alright with the range or did i forget any hand that's supposed to be in?

i would actually not fold any pair as you'll have a busted draw yourself often enough but i think it's ok to attempt a bluff and he may have folded a pair.


Rothko
Joined: 04.09.2009

What if the pot was 9/10 BB?

Anyway I think that a One Card Flush Draw is more likely than a weak pair.
And I would like to take hands like K8s, Q9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s off of his range because I think he should have openraised pf.

Thank u.