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Exploitive play

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casadewinna
Joined: 13.01.2011

IPoker, $0.25/$0.50 Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Hand Details

What we know:
-MP is maniac, that opens ~97% from any position.
-He cbets/donkbets any made hand almost always.
-Sometimes he ch/raises, but only with strong hands.
-His ch/call means weakness.
-Blinds are TAG-players, BU is a little looser.
-Since he just flatted my 3Bet, we can exclude showdown value hands from his range.
-He folds alot:

Preflop: Hero is CO with 4 3
MP raises, Hero 3-bets, 3 folds, MP calls

Flop: (7.4 SB)
XXX
(2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets, MP calls

Turn: (4.7 BB)
X
MP checks, Hero bets, MP calls

River: (6.7 BB)
X
MP checks, Hero bets

Board cards doesen't matter.

Is it enough information, to play this line?


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4 replies
YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

A pretty damned good question!

I look forward to an analysis from someone willing to do the calculation. [I'd guess that the answer is "no". You need better position (button) and/or better cards. He will pair up (or make better hands) more often than not those times he goes to the river.] But I really like the way you posed the question.

/Johan = :f_confused:


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casadewinna
Joined: 13.01.2011

I wrote this question in 3 forums, will see) Now I'm also more inclined to think that I need stronger hand, but everything is so blurry (


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firsttsunami
Joined: 23.01.2006

Your description about this player is impressive. I'dwish each one would bring along such detailed reads but your sample is smalland maniac and he folds much iskind of contradictive. Against maniacs who peel a lot you should preferable just 3bet with showdownvalue hands or suitedconnectors with good implied odds. Equitywise , if he really opens any2 from any position,you could also 3bet K2o but this hand doesn't playthatwell and does not win big pots, has marginal showdownvalue and you don't actually know where you're at if getting raised at some point.

3betting a lot iscertainly the right adaption but you'recertainly not supposed to 3bet with 43s. This hand has just 38% EQ against a 100% Range. Kind of obvious as43s is a crappy hand andyou'll neverflop toppair or hita big flop that often. This handis just an easy muck.Rather 3bet a hand like 78s that has 47% EQ and plays well and has good implied odds.


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casadewinna
Joined: 13.01.2011

I think, I was mistaken about he is maniac, more correctly to say - maniac preflop - nit postflop.
I had a big discussion about if its profitable line postflop. (Assuming he really fold that much on the river. So lack of equity compensated by high fold equity)
If yes - so I can barrel him on any 2. And than will be another question: in what way players after me affect on my preflop range? (not considering future adjustments)


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