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50nl KQo facing cbet in 3-bet pot IP

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patuxz
Joined: 23.05.2014
BlackMember

Villain 3-bet vs BTN 16%.
Cbet flop in 3-bet pot 72%. Cbet turn 3-bet pot 67% (8/12).
WSD 45% !!!! WWSF 49%. Bet river 46%.
So given these stats + my reads, this villain is overaggressive, bets too much and loses at showdown.
How do you play this flop vs him? I think this is one of the few textures that he would XF. But given his wide range (16%) he can also be betting a lot of mediocre hands here. I believe that if I turn K/Q he will continue barrelling, and likely bluff river.

OnGame - $0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: $58.43 (VPIP: 25.99, PFR: 20.29, 3Bet Preflop: 9.36, Hands: 1,438)
BB: $168.35 (VPIP: 24.03, PFR: 18.64, 3Bet Preflop: 7.90, Hands: 1,619)
UTG: $53.00 (VPIP: 21.85, PFR: 16.17, 3Bet Preflop: 8.88, Hands: 1,699)
MP: $36.59 (VPIP: 41.67, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 12)
CO: $24.75 (VPIP: 29.83, PFR: 13.81, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 186)
Hero (BTN): $44.25

SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has Q♠ K♥

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.00, SB raises to $3.50, fold, Hero calls $2.50

Flop: ($7.50, 2 players) 2♣ 9♦ 4♦
SB bets $4.50, fold


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Hi patuxz

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: I think that we have a lot of better hands to continue with here. his bet needs to work 38% of the time so we can't really fold more than 40% but I think that KQo, no backdoors is still ok to fold. Of course if a Q or K comes on the turn he would bluff it so that's good for us but that happens 12% of the time.


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