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89s - multiple draws - river bluff ?

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schelleXL
Joined: 05.05.2011

Hello,

here I get a good draw which I can continue on the turn because now we have another OESD
River is a crappy card because I only can bluff out draws now, any K or T will probably call.

your thoughts ?

​​UTG: $11.25 (VPIP: 16.86, PFR: 14.07, 3Bet Preflop: 5.41, Hands: 942)
Hero (CO): $11.96
BTN: $15.61 (VPIP: 17.68, PFR: 11.25, 3Bet Preflop: 5.00, Hands: 317)
SB: $10.26 (VPIP: 15.33, PFR: 11.00, 3Bet Preflop: 3.51, Hands: 1,233)
BB: $15.64 (VPIP: 15.07, PFR: 12.17, 3Bet Preflop: 5.50, Hands: 350)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has 8♥ 9♥

fold, Hero raises to $0.25, fold, SB calls $0.20, fold

Flop: ($0.60, 2 players) T♠ 4♥ K♥
SB checks, Hero bets $0.31, SB calls $0.31

Turn: ($1.22, 2 players) 7♦
SB checks, Hero bets $0.81, SB calls $0.81

River: ($2.84, 2 players) 7♠
SB checks, Hero checks

Spoiler

SB shows J♥ Q♥ (One Pair, Sevens)
(Pre 66%, Flop 90%, Turn 80%)
Hero mucks 8♥ 9♥ (One Pair, Sevens)
(Pre 34%, Flop 10%, Turn 20%)
SB wins $2.71


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7 replies
YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Don't be so sure about any K and especially any T calling a bet. Any such hand is a bluff catcher and he might be a master card reader deciding to either bluff catch or fold irrespective of the strength of his bluff catcher. In other words, he might call holding 88 and he might fold holding KQ. As played, I'd bluff river.


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dutchnub
Joined: 27.07.2010

Villain seems to be a nit preflop, giving him a pretty string range post. Do you have any stats of how he plays vs cb on flop /turn? Depending status you could consider checking one of those. I do agree this is a horrible river to bluffers. All draws missed, and you cant really have a 7 so you are likely very polarized.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

We don't represent a draw. We represent value because we raised-bet-bet on the earlier streets with high cards on the board.


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marsa08
Joined: 30.01.2014

Villain takes passive line on this board-> I would bet on the river as played.


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VaskataBuci
Joined: 08.08.2011

Bet the river man, villain has nothing strong. Plus this is one of your best holdings to bluff with.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Betting river is ok. The pair on board is scary and villain will fold wide.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I agree that you should bet river as well. Villain would have raised with strong hands at some point, you are repping made value hand. He could have called with draws, weaker pairs etc and will fold even weak Kx hands here.


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