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[Closed] AJo NL200.

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PanDuzePE
Joined: 12.12.2007

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Full Tilt
SB ($200)
Hero ($40)
UTG ($203)
UTG+1 ($200)
UTG+2 ($199)
MP1 ($229)
MP2 ($297)
CO ($200)
BTN ($57.35)

Dealt to Hero A♠J♥

fold, fold, fold, MP2 raises to $6, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $40, MP2 calls $34,

FLOP ($81) 8♦3♣7♥

TURN ($81) 8♦3♣7♥2♦

RIVER ($81) 8♦3♣7♥2♦7♠

175 hands

this should be enough or fold ?


12 replies

You have few hands to rely on his positional PFR, but I think we can expect him to raise a little more than 11% from MP2 and push here according to the chart.


DaPhunk
Joined: 01.03.2008

lol, those are crazy stats. I'm unsure as to what this all means but as i'm quite aggressive I guess i push also.


nworb200
Joined: 19.08.2008

Hi

Is it just me is that a really strange PFR distribution - he hasn't open raised late once - weird.

Anyone know why he would employ that strategy?


its not an strategy its just the sample size, which doesnt say anything about his real positionstats.
i fold aj in this spot because his overall pfr is to low.


PanDuzePE Topic starter
PanDuzePE
Joined: 12.12.2007

Don`t look at PFR, look at Raise 1st in this case


IngolPoker
Joined: 05.09.2006

Originally posted by dandycal
You have few hands to rely on his positional PFR, but I think we can expect him to raise a little more than 11% from MP2 and push here according to the chart.

dude...wait...what?

i dont think AJo is ahead against a 11% range


PanDuzePE Topic starter
PanDuzePE
Joined: 12.12.2007

Again 11 % not, but where did u see 11 % ? lol

u look at pfr.

u should look at raise 1st because there are no limpers behind him, did u know how to use HM stats ?:)


Originally posted by IngolPoker

Originally posted by dandycal
You have few hands to rely on his positional PFR, but I think we can expect him to raise a little more than 11% from MP2 and push here according to the chart.

dude...wait...what?

i dont think AJo is ahead against a 11% range

Yeah, AJo gets like 45% eq.. But I'm supposing villain is just a little looser than that, as he is open raising from MP2. In the charts for adjusted re-raise AJo is good against a raise from MP2 (12% pfr villain).

Originally posted by PanDuzePE
Again 11 % not, but where did u see 11 % ? lol

u look at pfr.

u should look at raise 1st because there are no limpers behind him, did u know how to use HM stats ?:)

11% PFR. PFR is more general than Raise 1st, and given the small sample, I find it more trustworthy. But as you see his Raise 1st is quite looser than PFR and his MP pfr is also looser than 11%, it seems like an easy push?


IngolPoker
Joined: 05.09.2006

AJo will never be a profitable 3bet against 12% also ^^ He will fold everything you have crushed and your equity against his callingrange is horrible


Originally posted by IngolPoker
AJo will never be a profitable 3bet against 12% also ^^ He will fold everything you have crushed and your equity against his callingrange is horrible

Yeah, I did some math here and it does seem like- EV. But it figures as a proper move in those charts. ?( I was kinda trusting them for my 3betting. Should I take a tighter approach in general then?


IngolPoker
Joined: 05.09.2006

sometimes tighter, sometimes looser

ooops, isnt poker simple enough to put it in a chart? sry :(
:f_biggrin:


Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

a chart is putting players into profiles thus you are generalizing situations while every Villain has a different approach to the game thus different Callingrange + FEQ

- Gerv


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