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[Closed] AK, nl100

Hand discussions for No Limit

Last Post by burek2000 17 years ago

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Aimboy

Joined: 03.06.2008

Posts: 11,617

27.05.2009, 00:14 0

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (7 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop

MP2 ($129.45)
CO ($20)
Button ($160.70)
Hero (SB) ($20)
BB ($136.90)
UTG ($97.50)
MP1 ($74.60)

Preflop: Hero is SB with ,
UTG bets $3, MP1 calls $3, 3 folds, Hero raises to $20 (All-In), 3 folds

Total pot: $10 | Rake: $0

Recently I realised I have problems with folding AK and JJ hands preflop against quite tight oppoenents.

Raiser was: 11/7 2,5k hands
Coldcaller was: 45/21 with cc: 33%, 300 hands

In this case I had this fishy coldcaller, so I think my push is quite easy, but what if there was no coldcaller? According to adv sss shc I should fold, do you fold then? ;u

I'm not a very emotional person. But I'll admit I got pretty upset when I heard the news that Morgan Freeman wasn't really dead.

5 replies

PanDuzePE

Joined: 12.12.2007

Posts: 5,320

27.05.2009, 00:28 0

I think this is push because :

AKo 52.771%

88+, ATs+, KTs+, AQo+ 47.229%

https://www.twitch.tv/grandepe_poker/

https://discord.gg/fFpMPg7U

Aimboy Topic starter

Joined: 03.06.2008

Posts: 11,617

27.05.2009, 08:41 0

I don't have positional stats (I don't use them) so this is according to adv shc, pfr * 0,5 and then, without any dead money, situation looks like this:

Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
Player 1: 41,763% 38,751% 6,024% 55,226% AKo
Player 2: 58,237% 55,226% 6,024% 38,751% 99+, AQs+

I think I have to start using positional stats in my play.

I'm not a very emotional person. But I'll admit I got pretty upset when I heard the news that Morgan Freeman wasn't really dead.

sm112

Joined: 14.10.2008

Posts: 213

27.05.2009, 09:38 0

Definitely a squeeze shove in this situation, probably a fold without caller.

Padde

Joined: 25.05.2006

Posts: 1,002

27.05.2009, 16:36 0

Originally posted by sm112
Definitely a squeeze shove in this situation, probably a fold without caller.

same here.

burek2000

Joined: 16.11.2007

Posts: 3,140

28.05.2009, 14:28 0

Hey PanDuzePE,

if UTG's stats are for EP only then you can push against 7PFR even without cold caller. Fold if he plays 11/7 average though, btw advanced SHC is based on average PFR, if you play with positional stats you can make more accurate reraises with decent sample size. Just play around with the equilator a little.

As said before, with the fishy cold caller this is a squeeze. Nice hand.

Regards,
burek2000