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NL 9c7c decision based on stats

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TortoiseAndHare
Joined: 24.01.2014

partypoker - 0.25 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 209.4 BB
UTG: 158.28 BB
UTG+1: 156.8 BB
MP: 195 BB
CO: 86.96 BB
BTN: 36.48 BB
Hero (SB): 98 BB

Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 9♣ 7♣

fold, UTG+1 calls 1 BB, MP calls 1 BB, CO calls 1 BB, BTN calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 6 BB, BB calls 5 BB, UTG+1 calls 5 BB, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (21 BB, 3 players) 9♦ 3♦ 4♦
Hero bets 14.96 BB, fold, fold

BB and UTG had fishy stats: VPIP of 50-80 and PFR 5-10. They play a lot of hands in order to see the flop and often fold to Cbets. Therefore my strategy was to use 2/3-3/4 potsize Cbets more often even out of position. Although I have top pairs my hand strength is limited against this wet board (draw, straight). Based on their stats and their play I used this semi-bluff profitably.


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3 replies
Alan883
Joined: 03.12.2008

Hey TortoiseAndHare,

i think we shouldn't iso raise here. Completing on a small blind would be definitely the best option. I don't expect villains fold to often here and also when the call we are oop for the entire hand and then in difficult position.

I would just complete here and hoping for some straight or flush. Also folding is not bad i am opinion

As played on the flop i think we have to cbet if we decided to iso raise with 9 :club:7 :club:. When we cbet we just hope everybody folds otherwise almost every card on turn and river is bad for us.

So i think you will make your life my easier if you don't iso raise such marginal hands.

i hope it makes sense.


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CPallo
Joined: 12.04.2012

Hi,

Agree with Alan, I wouldn't Isolate this hand. If we had position it could be better play.

As played, betting flop big and then giving up if called would be my default plan.


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MasochisticDesire
Joined: 25.10.2010

Originally posted by TortoiseAndHare
BB and UTG had fishy stats: VPIP of 50-80 and PFR 5-10. They play a lot of hands in order to see the flop and often fold to Cbets.

Hi T&H,

The value of suited connectors /1 gappers etc is predominantly due to fold Eq as they play well post-flop and you can play draws aggressively but is also well disguised should you make a strong hand. I think the typical SD strength of SC's is often thought to be stronger than it is, they most value with initiative against tight-passive opponents.

Vs pre-flop loons calling a very wide range you would be better served isolating a TPGK heavy range. This can still be fairly wide (eg Q8o as long as you think villains call worse Q's and 8s.) That said, I would prefer to isolate a considerably tighter range out of position.

As played pre - I would bet more on the flop, as, if these opponents are as weak as you think then they will call almost any amount with any naked broadway diamond.

MD

ps - if you are playing BSS, turn 'auto top up' on.


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