NL10 - 99 set

Originally posted by suzukispeed
PokerStars - €0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 131.3 BB (VPIP: 18.01, PFR: 16.15, 3Bet Preflop: 6.56, Hands: 167)
UTG: 126.3 BB (VPIP: 7.14, PFR: 7.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
CO: 209.6 BB (VPIP: 21.68, PFR: 17.99, 3Bet Preflop: 7.11, Hands: 707)
BTN: 136.3 BB (VPIP: 52.83, PFR: 16.98, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 54)
Hero (SB): 100 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9♥ 9♣

fold, fold, BTN calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 5 BB, fold, BTN calls 4 BB

Flop: (11 BB, 2 players) A♣ 9♠ T♦
Hero bets 6 BB, BTN calls 6 BB

Turn: (23 BB, 2 players) 6♠
Hero bets 18 BB, BTN calls 18 BB

River: (59 BB, 2 players) 3♠
Hero bets 30 BB, BTN raises to 75 BB, Hero calls 41 BB and is all-in

Spoiler

BTN shows J♠ 7♠ (Flush, Jack High) (Pre 32%, Flop 17%, Turn 23%)
Hero shows 9♥ 9♣ (Three of a Kind, Nines) (Pre 68%, Flop 83%, Turn 77%)
BTN wins 192 BB

Hello,
how much should I bet on the river and can I fold?

You can't really fold, he's some kind of a fish and he got extremely lucky.

Hi

If you had sized your bets properly, you wouldn't be facing this situation.
Bet 9 on the Flop, pot the Turn and pot the River. You are losing a ton of value vs AX.

Thanks.

I should bet so big in 3 streets w set vs fish ,right? But if we have TPTK should I bet so big .Or if I play vs weak reg and again I'm with set . Or vs some reg that we have history?

On such board im never thinking about folding, but how to get stacks in

vs fish with AK im playing for stacks almost all day long, because he cant lay down TP.

About standard regs you shouldn't care much about, just barrel.

My question was more about bet sizing

Basically in general, the stronger your hand, the larger you should be attempting to bet.

So With a set here, your aim should be to attempt to play for stacks. With TPTK, it depends on how loose the other player is. If you expect him to stack off with any top pair for 3 streets of value, then you should probably be using a similar bet size. If you think that potting looks overly strong, then you may need to bet smaller.

Vs a reg you probably need to bet smaller on all streets, not only because they don't call with so many AX hands preflop, but because they are not so likely to call 3 streets with weaker kickers.