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[Closed] Nl100 A7o

10 Posts
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Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;SB$145,70:670/49 /21 /1,8/25 /30 /33 /43 ;Hero$18,50:///////;[/tg]
0,5/1 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is BU with A♣, 7♦
4 folds, Hero raises to $3,00, SB raises to $6,00, BB folds, Hero?

Easy Push or Fold? Or can I even think about calling ?


9 replies

Easy Push.
The only problem could be: You have less than 1000 Hands from SB, so the Fold BB to Steal figure is not accurate yet.

But:

You just need 42% Equity here to push profitable.

We give the SB a Raise Range of 28%:
22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo
I think this is realistic.

Against this Range, you have 45% Equity.
So i would push it

Edit:
I don't like calling with A7o here against this loose opponent.
If you dont hit the flop....


Nunki
Joined: 25.10.2006

Originally posted by Gerv
Or can I even think about calling ?

You can think all you like but you have to be able to come up with some sort of strategy to counter a lot of open-shoving on the flop from villain.

Pick a range, raise or fold PF.


allizdoR
Joined: 02.01.2007

Originally posted by wuusaa
Easy Push.
The only problem could be: You have less than 1000 Hands from SB, so the Fold BB to Steal figure is not accurate yet.

But:

You just need 42% Equity here to push profitable.

We give the SB a Raise Range of 28%:
22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo
I think this is realistic.

Against this Range, you have 45% Equity.
So i would push it

Edit:
I don't like calling with A7o here against this loose opponent.
If you dont hit the flop....

I would fold... calling would be very agressive for NL100... and of course I dont believe the texas grabem stats (looks like a samplesize of 3 hands)

I also fold this very often on NL400+ because 42% EQ is a lot.

I would only call, if he do this min3-bet very often and I have a good playable hand, like a SC.

77+ A8s+ KJs+ QJs+ A9o, KQo and I think this is already a loose 3-bet range on nl100. most think he will only call.


you think its too aggressive to push because we have no good Foldequity ?

I think i 'm too loose in steal and blindvsblind situations and i am loosing money here.

Can i ask you about your Stats about this...
-ats (co/bu/sb)
-fbbts, fsbts


allizdoR
Joined: 02.01.2007

samplesize 300k
19/29/54

88/83

at the moment it should be 25/30/40 and 82/78 something like this.
but its also depends on your site and limit.

also fold 75% to steal could be a good value.


Be pointing out that if you push he calls with quite possibly any pair or better ace. If you take it down after pushing you win a small pot, if he calls you will probably lose a big one.

Fwiw I fold here, too many times dominated and I like playing ABC poker. Game theory is about decisions. The fewer and more simple, the more profitable you will be.


thats true matt.
but Theory is: You put your opponent on a Range and look if you have the needed equity with your HoldingHand against this Range.


IngolPoker
Joined: 05.09.2006

i'm not sure if he really 3bets that much....if he does its obv. good to push ;)

why do you actually raise with this maniac in the sb?


That's the theory certainly, having said that I don't think the range is correct anywho. Would the SB really make a mine 3-bet OOP knowing he is giving good odds to call vs an SS with A2?

I prefer this range, 44+, A7o+, KT+, QTo+, JTo, A7s+, KTs+, JTs which gives 40.9% < 42% and therefore I call/fold pre. AllizdoR's range is even tighter than this.

I prefer to use the 10.5:3 pot odds, being as though the odds of hitting a pair on the flop are better than this. If you pair any card on most boards I believe you will be ahead.


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