NL2 Zoom 6 max TT bet on riveR?

The only weaker pp he can really have here is 99 though. 55-33 fold flop, and if they don't fold, they will fold river.

I prefer to just x/c the river, but I probably would have bet turn also for value vs draws and then check/fold river w TT (and check calling with some weaker Qx)

Do you think villain will bet the river with worse if we check?

Originally posted by nitrol
Do you think villain will bet the river with worse if we check?

Yeah, if he has a busted draw and we check twice imo he's bluffing it.

Bet-folding in a spot like this becomes interesting versus a fairly balanced opponent and you decide to not check-fold because your hand is far up in the bluff-catching range. Then you need to compare bet-fold and check-call. Since the opponent is balanced, the check-call should have about zero EV. But there may be hands that are worse than yours that will call a bet but not bet for value (and also not bet for bluff because they are too good). If this part of his range is substantial, then a bet-fold may be better than the check-call. If, in addition, you think the opponent will bet for value if you check if and only if he has you beat, then bet-fold is definitely better.

In this case, the "target part" of his range (looks like 99, maybe A♣:8♣: or so) is too small to attempt a bet-fold IMO, because you also expose yourself to getting bluff-raised out by a (small) amount of hands. If the board was 2♣:2♦:2♠:Q♠:3♥:, things would be different.

I would bet bigger otf to get more value from FD and SD. Why not betting the turn? The 8 on the river hits better his range, now he could have 2 pairs, strait. I'm more inclined to x/c the river or even x/f (depends of course of the size if he bets).

If we bet flop, bet turn, are we x/f the river?

Depends on the bet size, I think. Probably x/c is better.

I think you played this hand quite well after all. It's NL2, so there could be still some worse one-pair hands that he is going to call you with. And as this is NL2, he won't bluff the river at all in general, so I think betting is actually fine.