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Overpair vs raise

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ikalyamin
Joined: 12.05.2009

PokerStars - $0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 141.3 BB (VPIP: 20.92, PFR: 16.91, 3Bet Preflop: 7.94, Hands: 6,600)
SB: 225.7 BB (VPIP: 22.30, PFR: 16.30, 3Bet Preflop: 6.87, Hands: 7,884)
Hero (BB): 170.98 BB
UTG: 106.68 BB (VPIP: 20.45, PFR: 12.88, 3Bet Preflop: 3.77, Hands: 136)
CO: 201.8 BB (VPIP: 47.54, PFR: 13.11, 3Bet Preflop: 9.43, Hands: 127)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♣ K♥

fold, fold, fold, SB raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 10 BB, SB calls 7 BB

Flop: (20 BB, 2 players) 2♠ T♣ 8♣
SB checks, Hero bets 13 BB, SB raises to 37 BB, Hero calls 24 BB

Turn: (94 BB, 2 players) J♦
SB bets 43.5 BB, Hero raises to 123.98 BB and is all-in, SB calls 80.48 BB

River: (341.96 BB, 2 players) Q♣
4Bet range SB 4.76%
Fold to 3Bet total 48%
Fold BB vs SB fold to resteal SB 56%
Fold to Cbet (3B) total 36%, oop 48%
Raise vs Cbet oop (3B) 4% (1/25)
Afq 48%, WTS 27%, WWSF 47%, W$SD 59%


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2 replies
Pkrpains
Joined: 04.10.2010

Think that shove on the turn is way too thin / optimistic / bad here, esp 170bb deep. When we do that we just have to hope that he has clubs, but we block some of them, J9 or QQ. We are beat by sets (not sure if he flats 22 pre, but some players do that), straights, T8, so that's quite a lot of combos and they are all perfectly in his range.

I'd be deciding between folding or calling and most likely find a fold. We hate many rivers, we are in a terrible spot if he shoves river. I know it may seem kind of weak, but I really don't mind just laying it down on this runout.


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Ikalyamin,

Preflop 3bet is fine.

So we have a ton of hands on this guy by the looks of things. He has 4% raise vs flop cbet OOP in a 3b pot. This is the first time he's raised flop in 25 hands. It's extremely likely he just has a set.

I would just make an exploitative flop fold here. As played would fold the turn to 2nd barrel, jamming is likely pretty bad.


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