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[SH] NL 50 AA vs flop raise

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Poker Stars $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players -
MP: $64.96 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 17, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 6
CO: $132.94 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 17, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 6
BTN: $18.00 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 0.0, Hands: 50
SB: $50.00 - VPIP: 8, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 12
BB: $54.35 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 18, 3B: 0, AF: 0.7, Hands: 87
Hero (UTG): $52.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 19, 3B: 7, AF: 4.8, Hands: 166592

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG with A :spade: A :club:
Hero raises to $1.75, 1 fold, CO calls $1.75, 3 folds

Flop: ($4.25) Q :diamond: 2 :heart: K :diamond: (2 players)
Hero bets $3.00, CO raises to $9.03, Hero raises to $17.25, CO folds

I'd expect villain to have a good percent of the time some kind of draw. As I did not want to see many turn cards I chose to play for stacks on the flop. Any reason to play the hand some other way? Like call flop donk non :diamond: turns?


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DailyDollarPro
Joined: 11.07.2011
Oldschool Grinder

You should only be losing to KQ and 22. A lot of people will call flop and look to raise turn with a monster, so I agree with your thinking that this raise is mostly either a draw, air or Kx. In which case I think it is better to call the raise with the plan of x/r safe turn cards. On the flop you are dead flipping vs J♦ T♦, however on a safe turn card (which hits 71% of the time), we improve to 70% equity.

The fact that he folded to your 3bet suggests that you probably missed value by raising yet would have paid off his nuts.


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veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008
BlackMember

Hello DeMarcohsp,

No way you can Call the flop without even having A:d, therefore just get it in if you assume him having a wider raising range there. Nice hand!

Best Regards.


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