PokerStars - $1 Ante $0.20 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BB: 671.29 BB (VPIP: 58.99, PFR: 48.85, 3Bet Preflop: 32.97, Hands: 222)
Hero (UTG): 544.87 BB
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 25.12, PFR: 14.98, 3Bet Preflop: 5.36, Hands: 1,230)
CO: 347.82 BB (VPIP: 28.64, PFR: 20.47, 3Bet Preflop: 7.87, Hands: 1,597)
BTN: 225.98 BB (VPIP: 39.83, PFR: 29.66, 3Bet Preflop: 17.07, Hands: 121)
SB: 250 BB (VPIP: 29.51, PFR: 18.03, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 183)
Villain is joocs, AF 2 3 2, fold to cbet 50. WTS 31, no history/reads
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, 6 players post ante of 0.2 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 2.7 BB) Hero has 8♥ A♣ 6♠ A♥
Hero raises to 4 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 4 BB, fold, fold
Flop: (10.7 BB, 2 players) 2♦ K♦ 4♥
Hero bets 7 BB, BTN calls 7 BB
Turn: (24.7 BB, 2 players) 4♠
Hero bets 18 BB, BTN calls 18 BB
River: (60.7 BB, 2 players) J♣
Hero checks, BTN bets 49 BB,
I'm really not sure about what to do here. Against fun players it's the easiest snap ever, all draws bust and I don't block any draws. However, because it is such an obvious bluffcatching spot I think that a regular should know better and expect to get snapped by me (repping AA, AK, KJ) quite often, so he should be checking back more and just give up.
Also the straightdraw is really low and he doesn't overcall hands with such low cards that often pre, which shifts his range a bit towards KK or NFD+random 4. I also think that he is going to flat KK on the flop quite often, my UTG continuing range is so narrow, I might continue the case K (very unlikely) and the NFD, that's about it. Some AA53 combos also.
Usually on blank turns he would then jam the topset, but since he fills up he doesn't need to protect and can hope I hit a draw, so he flats again.
All in all, do we catch on the river?
