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PLO25 5533ss effective stack too shallow to call?

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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

CO had been playing lot of hands by open raising. Both blinds have been on tight side.

So CO open 17bb deep and I decided to just fold. Reasoning being I dont really have much implieds versus open raiser. Also even though blinds have been on tight side I would imagine they could be squeezing on wide side as open raiser is so shallow. They might also 3bet such amount that CO can reopen betting if they are thinking enough.

Anyway what you think of this spot? If fold is fine what stack depth would you call versus CO? I would call if he had 30bb at least. What sort of double pair would you 3bet to iso short stack? Like QQ33 perhaps?


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Coach
Kyyberi
Joined: 09.07.2010

You get fined in Finland for folding that. Easy call.


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JoePlotter
Joined: 10.11.2012

Kyyberi, Im really surprised.

I dont like the odds. You are 4:1 flop a set, 8:1 to get shitty flushdraw. Upside is good blokker potential and position. However, by calling we induce an risk multiway-pot to happed and those weak bigger pairs get good odds. We will either catch value for 3 streets (or lose) or valuebet from ip 3 streets. Any more action and we are usually not in very good shape. We hope that some will overplay his bare top2. Short stacked raiser wont make costly enough mistakes for us to profit fom position when we are heads-up. I like small pair from position to be doublesuited or offsuit-pair+suited when half of the time when setting it has atleast backdoor-flushdraw to go with. Maybe with good reads on opponent or opponents this could be a call from position to see if there are any exploitable spots on flop.

Was that tight enough?! :f_drink:


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regie
Joined: 06.03.2008

Call


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Kyyberi
Joined: 09.07.2010

We get set 1/4 times and we are calling 3,4bb. To be profitable only with set mining we need to win a pot of over 14bb on average. After the call the pot is a bit over 8 on lowest and 14bb if both blinds call. Low sets are vulnerable in multiway pots, but hitting a bottom set doesn't mean we have to stack off. I think we should be able to play bottom sets as breakeven postflop in position even in multiway pots. If blinds fold, we need to get value of 6bb on average from CO postflop if we hit a set. He has 14bb behind on a pot of 8bb which means he will stack off quite often.

Even if blinds raise, they are most likely AA/KK heavy. CO will always call, and that shouldn't open a new betting round. If blinds are raising less than a pot to overcome this and CO comes over the top, it's an easy fold. If CO just calls or his shove doesn't open a new betting round, it's an easy call for us. We still hit set 1/4 times, and we need just 1/3 of the pot as value postflop. I think we should be able to do that in 3bet pot with a set.


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BradNitt
Joined: 22.07.2011

Originally posted by Kyyberi
You get fined in Finland for folding that. Easy call.

in solverland its a fold for 30bbs and lower
as finland is too cold anyway, im fine with just folding that preflop, due to the high rake on that limits. for my first argument :)

Spoiler

no offense against finland. just a joke
actually i would prefer cold weather > tropical stuff, where you sweat all day long :transpire:


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