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1$ STT QQ near bubble

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IPoker, $1 Buy-in (100/200 blinds)

Hero (CO): 4,811 (24.1 bb)
BTN: 4,985 (24.9 bb) --- 15/4 over 80 hands
SB: 1,770 (8.9 bb)
BB: 2,439 (12.2 bb)
MP: 995 (5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q Q
MP folds, Hero raises to 450, BTN calls 450, 2 folds

Flop: (1,200) T J 7 (2 players)
Hero bets 975, BTN raises to 2,062.50, Hero raises to 4,361 and is all-in, BTN calls 2,298.50

Turn: (9,922) 6 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (9,922) 8 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Could I get away here, even if I didn't shove OTF?

Thanks.


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2 replies
Topdog2904
Joined: 08.04.2012
PokerStrategist

It all depends on whether you respect his raise on the flop. Has he been bullying you? Knowing that you don't want to get involved against him. Has he raised a lot of your continuation bets? What is his range? How does he play his strong hands/weak hands?

You need to try and answer the questions above to make a decision.

He looks to play quite passively and tight. So I would just give him respect for the hand and painfully fold. This board is very wet, and even if you have him beat now he probably has good equity. If you fold you will still be second in chips.

If this is a recurring situation, then I would probably get it in on the flop rather than give him more cards (you will be pot committed anyway).

Personally, the main thing I would have done differently is the flop bet. Remember you don't want to get involved with the big stack. 975 is almost 25% of your stack. Possibly a smaller bet or just a check if this looks to hit his range quite often. Even check fold here would not be a bad line if he makes a big bet. You have to think whether a bet, call or raise will pot commit you, and then whether you actually want to put all your chips in with this hand


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akrammon
Joined: 17.05.2009
Elite Grinder

Hey guys!

No, you can't get away from this hand. Tho 15/4 looks tight, it also looks a bit fishy because of the big gap between his two stat numbers.
He definitely has a few combos that has you beat here, but he can easily raise you here with top pair or pair+draw combo, or just a flushdraw.

Even though we are not very happy with crushing against the other bigstack, we have an overpair against an unknown, possible fishy player. I wouldn't let this go.

Also, don't forget: this is not the bubble yet! We are close, yes, there is some ICM effect, but it's not THAT much.

I don't mind a 900ish sizing - the flop is very drawy and there are a ton of bad turns. You want to protect yourself and get value from his draws. If you bet 600ish and you get called, you will be hating your life on many turns. Also, we don't mind just taking the pot.

Overall, you played it well.

Regards,
akrammon


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