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$100 QTo fifty50

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jimpooo
Joined: 02.08.2010
Oldschool Grinder

Poker Stars, $95.86 Buy-in (30/60 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 7 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (CO): 1,300 (21.7 bb)
BTN: 3,140 (52.3 bb)
SB: 1,430 (23.8 bb)
BB: 1,440 (24 bb)
MP1: 1,620 (27 bb)
MP2: 1,435 (23.9 bb)
MP3: 4,635 (77.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q T
2 folds, MP3 raises to 120, Hero calls 120, 3 folds

Flop: (330) J 9 5 (2 players)
MP3 checks, Hero bets 174, MP3 calls 174

Turn: (678) 5 (2 players)
MP3 checks, Hero checks

River: (678) K (2 players)
MP3 checks, Hero bets 406, MP3 raises to 1,200, Hero ?


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2 replies
Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008
BlackMember

statistics? reads? Any information at all that would lead us to think calling QTo against a middle position open raise 20bb effective in a risk-averse DON is going to be profitable? Although we are technically in last place, there's plenty of time for others to make mistakes; we don't need to make their lives easier.

in the absence of such information, I would say this is an easy fold preflop. We are completely dominated by his opening range.

As played flop bet is okay, but I don't mind checking behind either since he's giving us a free card and we hate life when he check raises. I think your river bet is too big on this scary card. He is either slow playing or has a pretty marginal holding which he won't call for this size. 1/2pot looks good.

This raise smells like backdoor flush draw or turned full house to me and I don't see any reason why he would be bluffing the River, so I fold and hate myself for calling pre in the first place.


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fold PRE . this is a HUGE leak.

river is a bet/fold


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