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15$ 6 max 6 players, KK SB vs BTN unknown river decision?

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IvicaIliev77
Joined: 31.05.2012
PokerStrategist

This one also from last night.
Opponent is unknown only 38 hands he is 38/28 vpip/pfr, folds to 3 bet 0% (1 hand and thats this one) post flop 0% flop c bet and 0% fold to c bet flop, fold to c bet turn 33%.

Pre flop: 3 bet KK for value obviously.
Flop: We hit set, bet for value and extract value from draws , possibly middle PPs (assuming he doesn't 4 bet JJ, also 1010,99,88 etc) + Ax type of hands that combine SD.

Turn: A comes, now he may have J10 and start to slow play it, hit his 2 pair (AQ for example if he doesn't 4 bet it pre he will raise call 3 bet with it), so I double barrel to extract more value.

River: blank 6 hits and now facing a decision. After he calls double barrel in vacuum without reads I feel this is mandatory all in play for his stack. There is 938 down, 581 he has left ez game we should not really bet fold to his raise. If I check here and he bets then its just trouble deciding weather he defended 3 bet with QQ, AA , AQ, J10, JJ etc and is he only value betting here or he has bluffs etc. So I decide to bet ...

Questions for judges:
Is this thinking process in place? If not, what would you say is wrong with it?
How would you play this hand without any reads on your opponent?

It may be super easy hand but I just want to be assured if I did the right play here and if there is something you would have done differently (sizing, action, check raise etc)

Appreciate it

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $20(BB) Replayer
Hero ($1,525)
BB ($1,585)
UTG ($1,500)
UTG+1 ($1,500)
CO ($1,850)
BTN ($1,040)

Dealt to Hero K♦ K♠

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $40, Hero raises to $120, fold, BTN calls $80

FLOP ($260) K♣ Q♦ 2♠

Hero bets $117, BTN calls $117

TURN ($494) K♣ Q♦ 2♠ A♣

Hero bets $222, BTN calls $222

RIVER ($938) K♣ Q♦ 2♠ A♣ 6♠

Hero bets $625, BTN calls $581 (AI)

Spoiler

BTN shows T♦ J♦ (Pre 18%, Flop 27.4%, Turn 77.3%)Hero shows K♦ K♠ (Pre 82%, Flop 72.6%, Turn 22.7%)BTN wins $2,100


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4 replies
Anssi
Joined: 03.07.2008
BlackMember

Bet-bet-bet is generally good line with top set :P

I'd probably bet like 10% more both flop and turn so your river shove is bit smaller and you make draws pay more.

There are still way many worse hands that also pay you off here.


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IvicaIliev77 Topic starter
IvicaIliev77
Joined: 31.05.2012
PokerStrategist

Well yeah obviously its a solid line with 2nd top set
I am not sure how many worse hands are paying me off. I see AQ there and perhaps sets of QQ with chance of JJ calling (which I doubt very much).
Lets not forget its a 3 bet pot and defend to 3 bet range is usually caped for all opponents (99-JJ or QQ, A9s-AQs, A10o-AQo, KJs-KQs, KQo, QJo,Q10-QJs, J10s, perhaps 109,98,87s).


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kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010
Oldschool Grinder

He continues turn with Ax, Kx and maybe Qx if he picked up a FD/ FD with a gutter-like QTs, QJs. Kx, Qx he prolly just c/b on the riv, maybe even AT or some other Ax he decided to float flop with. It's just that I don't see any pure bluffs/draws w no pair that go the riv to bluff bet it tbh. I rather shove, have him call me with AQ,AT, KQ and maybe sometimes he hero call KTs, KJs or so.


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IvicaIliev77 Topic starter
IvicaIliev77
Joined: 31.05.2012
PokerStrategist

That's why I shoved because I think I will get more value that way from his calling range then to check call as he will have a lot of hands that he will check behind on the river with showdown value. Thanks Kurrkie


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