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7$ turbo 9man QQ

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legomanth
Joined: 05.05.2011
PokerStrategist

Poker Stars, $6.45 Buy-in (25/50 blinds, 6 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 1,645 (32.9 bb)
BB: 1,344 (26.9 bb)
UTG+1: 1,749 (35 bb)
UTG+2: 1,592 (31.8 bb)
MP1: 1,446 (28.9 bb)
Hero (MP2): 1,446 (28.9 bb)
MP3: 1,690 (33.8 bb) 20/14
CO: 1,268 (25.4 bb)
BTN: 1,320 (26.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with Q Q
3 folds, Hero raises to 125, MP3 calls 125, 4 folds

Flop: (379) K 5 J (2 players)
Hero bets 189, MP3 calls 189

Turn: (757) 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 checks

River: (757) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 bets 400, Hero calls 400

Results:

Spoiler

1,557 pot
Final Board: K 5 J 7 5
Hero mucked Q Q and lost (-720 net)
MP3 showed K 9 and won 1,557 (837 net)

Do you think a Jack, weaker pocket pair or air will bet the river? When looking it now maybe only air, Kx or 5x will bet the river but I don't see any 5x in his range. Even A5s seems a little loose to call preflop from MP.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008
Oldschool Grinder

It’s not to likely he will bet with a J on river, because than he expect you will call with worse here. So he has a bluff or a better hand most of the time. Without reads it’s likely he will bet a K on turn for value and 5x he will check behind, but 5x isn’t indeed to likely in his pre-flop flatting range. I think it’s still a good spot for him to bluff, because you checked twice. So it’s likely you have given up the hand. Without any reads or post flop stats I would call here as well.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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WhiteWalker
Joined: 06.06.2015
Poker Player

You don't have to see bet this board, AT type hands may bluff here. x/c, x/f can be a better line to take with this hand here as you keep more bluffs in villains range as opposed to knocking out a tonne of bluffs that miss. Lower pocket pairs may bluff later streets too after checking back flop


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