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888 10$ 9-man turbo 150/300 reg going nuts at the bubble - why?

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BrunoFaiduttiFan
Joined: 01.12.2016
Poker Player

Hi everybody,

this hand is not so much about my call with 99 here at the bubble. Ingame I was actually tanking for a while but then decided to call with a hand that actually turned out to be the bottom of my Nash calling range. However, villain had appeared very aggressive at the bubble so far, therefore I expected him to push at least the Nash range.

When he turned over his hand, I was shocked. Why would he as the 2nd in chips make such a push here? According to Nash he should only be shoving 30%, BU and BB had loose-passive tendencies, so he should actually be shoving even tighter than Nash I suppose. But ATC? This seems so way out of line to me... I had always thought that this villain was somewhat of sound mind... He had 20/18 stats over 1,5k hands... Any ideas what might have driven him into such madness? Do you think he was on monkey tilt, misclicked or do you think I should put him on a similar range in similar spots in the future?

Cheers :f_drink:

Pacific No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 150/300 Blinds (4 Spieler) - Pacific Converter Tool from http://de.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php

Hero (SB) (t2,164)
BB (t5,476)
UTG (t3,718)
Button (t2,142)

Hero's M: 4.81

Preflop: Hero ist SB mit 9, 9
UTG raises t3,688, 1 fold, Hero calls t1,984, 1 fold

Flop: (t4,568) 2, J, 3 (2 Spieler)

Turn: (t4,568) 3 (2 Spieler)

River: (t4,568) Q (2 Spieler)

Gesamt Pot: t4,568

Ergebnisse :

Spoiler

Hero hat 9, 9 (two pair, nines and threes).
UTG hat 2, 5 (two pair, threes and twos).
Ergebnis: Hero gewinnt t4,688


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4 replies
angalius
Joined: 10.11.2011
Poker Player

I think you would have to look a few hands back, or maybe you had him on other tables as well. Maybe your table was folding to his raises like 4-5 times so he decided that he can open any two cards to get chips, obviously not a profitable play, but of course if you have a very passive table, you can open a lot more hands


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008
Oldschool Grinder

His shove is optimistic for sure with 52o. I think it could be only profitable if the big stack and you are folding too often. 99 is off course an easy call as short stack.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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BrunoFaiduttiFan Topic starter
BrunoFaiduttiFan
Joined: 01.12.2016
Poker Player

I do not really think that it is easy though, because 88 would be a fold according to the Nash Range and assuming CO is not a maniac that pushes 52o in this spot.


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Okkernootje
Joined: 02.09.2013
PokerStrategist

I play the $10 games myself on 888 and know there are a few "regs" who are bullying way too wide and therefore have a huge leak. Never seen 25o though, except for 1 opponent that just popped in my mind (=vihrhost). Otherwise.... misclick?

His play is way out of line off course and a big ICM error. Make a note and move on.

About 99: this is in no way an easy call on the bubble for sure. Especially from a read/stat point of view we have no real proof that villain is out of line here often. But here our position, were we have to push into the two bigger stacks always, would incline me to make a slighter loose call. Tough one, nice call.


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