AA bet sizing

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Last Post by TomClassy 10 years ago

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slippyjim

Joined: 07.10.2011

Posts: 1,093

09.07.2016, 13:31 0

On this pretty draw heavy flop should I be betting around 350 so I can shove the turn if I'm called?
Or is it OK to bet like I did?
OTT I bet big to get max value but should I have bet bigger OTF and smaller on the turn?

BB - VPIP: 15, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 0.4, Hands: 52

Poker Stars, $3.11 Buy-in (40/80 blinds, 10 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 5 Players

SB: 710 (8.9 bb)
BB: 3,012 (37.7 bb)
MP: 1,384 (17.3 bb)
Hero (CO): 1,701 (21.3 bb)
BTN: 6,693 (83.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A♦: A♥:
MP folds, Hero raises to 200, 2 folds, BB calls 120

Flop: (490) 8♥: 3♠: J♠: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 245, BB calls 245

Turn: (980) 4♥: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 653, BB folds

Results:

Spoiler

980 pot
Final Board: 8♥: 3♠: J♠: 4♥:
BB mucked and lost (-455 net)
Hero mucked A♦: A♥: and won 980 (525 net)

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2 replies

SDK1987

Moderator

Joined: 12.11.2008

Posts: 44,160

10.07.2016, 09:15 0

I would most likely bet indeed some more on the flop, but maximum 300 and your sizing isn’t bad either with in mind that you still have room for 2 streets of value. If you make it 350 you are already in shoving territory on the turn if he called. As played I would bet approximately 400 with 1.226 chips behind and shove on a blank river.

Cheers,
SDK1987

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TomClassy

Joined: 06.05.2015

Posts: 669

11.07.2016, 17:11 0

I think it is hard for your opp to have much postflop besides a J, a set, a midpair or a drawing hand. After a call OTF I would put him on smthing like that (6/6/9/9 - Sets/Midpair/Toppair/FD or 20%/20%/30%/30%). You get value for 3 streets only from Toppairs which are only 30% of his range. With that being said I would go for value OTF and OTT and bet 290 (pot 490, ES 1491) and 450-500 (pot 1070, ES 1201) OTT.

Still I am convinced that against a thinking opp such a face up play will not work often enough that is why I would sometimes overbet shove such blank turn to make my opp get crazy and make a hero call with a midpair or toppair or I may try to put a smaller bet to get value from fd which would feel obliged to make a call due to pot odds

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