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AKo fold pre justified? 15$

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Saren113
Joined: 06.03.2009
Oldschool Grinder

the first Villian was a bad reg, the second one was a fish 38/17.

I don't expect to have that much of FE. It's a nit fold fo sure and I am not the one that's usually folds AK.

I'm pretty sure I can find a better spot to get my money in, so that's my reason for folding here. I am giving up a marginal +EV spot.

No Limit Holdem Tournament
PokerStars
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
$13.89+$1.11

Stacks:
UTG (4,860) 32bb
UTG+1 (3,020) 20bb
CO (1,640) 11bb
BTN (1,815) 12bb
SB (295) 2bb
Hero (BB) (1,870) 12bb

Blinds: 75/150

Pre-Flop: (225, 6 players) Hero is BB K♦ A♠
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to 300, CO calls 300, 1 fold, SB goes all-in 220, Hero folds

Flop: 10:heart: Q♥ 5♣ (1,045, 3 players, 1 all-in)
UTG+1 bets 300, CO folds

Turn: 9♦ (1,045, 2 players, 1 all-in)

River: 5♥ (1,045, 2 players, 1 all-in)

Final Pot: 1,045
UTG+1 shows two pair, Queens and Fives
K♠ Q♦
SB shows two pair, Queens and Fives - lower kicker
Q♠ 6♣

UTG+1 wins 1,345 (net +745)

CO lost 300
SB lost 295


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5 replies
kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010
Oldschool Grinder

I, on the other hand, do believe you have FE vs UTG, who is actually the trouble maker due to the risk aversion. And CO's range we smash. I think he could raise a relatively wide range- 25-30%, but only go broke here with JJ/QQ+. He's bad, so maybe that's AK as well, but not far than this.

I am interested to see how you analyzed the spot(which program did you use).

I think it's ok to shove here tbh.


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Saren113 Topic starter
Saren113
Joined: 06.03.2009
Oldschool Grinder

I use PT ICM, it says it's a shove. But ICM only counts if our villians know about it, what I doubt.


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maythany
Joined: 18.10.2011
PokerStrategist

Yeah this fold with AKo seems justified base on what you tell us.


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sirilidion
Joined: 15.04.2008
Oldschool Grinder

I would push this all day long depending what I know about the reg's opening range from the hijack I might even go as low as shoving low as ATo,AJs,KQs,88+ if he is opening 25-30 % as he mostly fold everything exept the top and we still crush the fish his range. against most regs raising from the hijack I happely get it in with AKo though needs to be really nitty for me to consider folding AKo imo.

Could you explain to me why I am wrong here?


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kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010
Oldschool Grinder

Now, I understand all this! And if you read my comment- you see I would have shoved as well. I didn't say you are wrong


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