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A8 bubble 8$ 180 man

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Hi, we are on the bubble and i know that if i fold here i am on the money 90% of the time.

My doubt is if it is +ev to play to 1st and call on this phase of the tounament.

No Limit Holdem Tournament
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
$7.34+$0.66

Stacks:
UTG IRKPOKERMAN (14,588) 12bb
UTG+1 Jurgis.Gvn (7,620) 6bb
CO Swunky (17,389) 14bb
BTN goepsen (7,719) 6bb
SB rubenpereira (8,011) 7bb
BB fengps (37,850) 32bb

Blinds: 600/1,200 Ante 125

Pre-Flop: (2,550, 6 players) rubenpereira is SB A♥ 8♥
1 fold, Jurgis.Gvn goes all-in 7,495, 2 folds, rubenpereira goes all-in 7,886, 1 fold

Flop: 9♠ K♥ 3♦ (16,940, 2 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: 6♣ (16,940, 2 players, 2 all-in)

River: 5♦ (16,940, 2 players, 2 all-in)

Final Pot: 16,940
rubenpereira shows high card Ace
A♥ 8♥
Jurgis.Gvn shows two pair, Kings and Nines
K♠ 9♦

Jurgis.Gvn wins 16,940 (net +9,320)

rubenpereira collects 391 (net -7,620)


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5 replies
gordy1957
Joined: 01.04.2010

I would fold here as BB has a big stack and can call light with the odds he is getting from your call


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I'd fold here. Even such a bubble as in these 180 mans is still a bubble, and you get the equivalent of 2 buy-ins, or 3k, is you sneak in the money. You are in SB this hand, meaning that when the bubble burst, you will be in late pos, giving you an opportunity to try stealing the blinds. Also, if you were already in the money it would still be a borderline decision... I'm interested what would the coach say ?


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Targetme
Joined: 04.05.2009

I call because its not a real bubble and if I dont make top two in 180's I wont make any money and winning this gives me a 4x better shot


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Targetme
Joined: 04.05.2009

Also Jurgis.Gvn is a reg and probably shoving 2-7 off here


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Tiltberger
Joined: 23.06.2005

if he's a reg and if you give him that lose range i shove here to because then its with deadmoney and payd sb a very +move!

Simulated 100000 Holdem Hands (Monte Carlo)
Simulation by Slice - The ev++ Equity Calculator

 Player   Equity   Win Hi   Tie Hi                                                                  Range                                                                     
    
   1       55.4     52.5     5.8                                                                      [A8]                                                                
   2       44.6     41.7     5.8      22-AA, A"K-3"{RB}, K"Q-7"{RB}, Q"J-8"{RB}, J"T-8"{RB}, T"9-8"{RB}, [A"K-2"], [K"Q-2"], [Q"J-4"], [J"T-7"], [T"9-7"], [9"8-7"], [87] 

if he is way tighter than pls fold here!


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