equity question

Joined: 22.10.2016

08.06.2020, 10:11 0

Hi all,

My last 2 sessions I have lost 10 buy ins. The first session I got it in vs a aggro player he was 88/45 with like 15AF and almost 100% flop and turn cbet.

I lost 6 buy ins to this guy.... I got it in good 4/6 times with at least 65% equity on the flop vs villain and he hit the turn or river for trips, straight, flush each time.

Second session was the same I was getting it in good and getting out drawn I lost 3-4bi and called it a day

Anyway my question is should I be more selective on my all in situations on the flop and overall? I’m happy if I have 60%+ equity vs 1 bad villain all in on flop, should I aim higher?

This was by far my worst losing session as I have moved from 2nl to 5nl and was just about rolled for a 20 bi shot at 10nl

But I found because I was getting it in good I didn’t feel that bad about it compared to if I made a bluff and got called. Which would cause me to tilt and try to win it back.

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3 replies

Tyrion88

Joined: 21.06.2007

Posts: 182

08.06.2020, 15:30 0

At NL5 EV with rake:
(0,6*4,58)-(0,4*5)= 0,75

Every time you make an all in desition with 60% equity, you will win $0,75. If I was you, I would do it every time again.

What helps me with that is my EV-graph in my tracking software Hands2Note. That EV-graph shows me that I have played correctly. And I am absolutly satisfied when, my EV-graph went up. That the results finally were going down, may not change our game. A good strategy remains a good strategy, regardless of the results.

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MrMontanaRC

Joined: 22.10.2016

Posts: 44

08.06.2020, 16:44 0

Originally posted by Tyrion88
At NL5 EV with rake:
(0,6*4,58)-(0,4*5)= 0,75

Every time you make an all in desition with 60% equity, you will win $0,75. If I was you, I would do it every time again.

What helps me with that is my EV-graph in my tracking software Hands2Note. That EV-graph shows me that I have played correctly. And I am absolutly satisfied when, my EV-graph went up. That the results finally were going down, may not change our game. A good strategy remains a good strategy, regardless of the results.

I use hm2, over 40k hands my ev bb/100 is 9.91, my bb/100 is 10.3 after my big losing session. Should I consider my ev bb/100 the more accurate of the 2?

I was running a few buy ins above ev for the last 10k or so hands

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Tyrion88

Joined: 21.06.2007

Posts: 182

08.06.2020, 17:51 0

Neither of them is accurate on 40k hands.
I meant it just helps my mindset. If I have a big losing session and I see the ev-graph is all up and it would have been a positive session, then I am happy again.

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