I was running above EV after 10,000 hands, continued to do so after 20,000 hands and 50,000 hands. Now I've put in something like 90,000+ hands and the gap between my Winnings line and EV keeps on increasing.
Most of the time when I have a winning session I'm above EV and when I have a losing session I'm below EV. Now I understand how EV is calculated and what it means but my question is, shouldn't winning players most of the time be above EV?
Think about it, ideally when you shove your AA against KK and win you're winnings line goes above EV in that session since you win more than you should have according to your preflop equity and the $EV Diff is negative.
Similarly your AA lose to KK, your EV line goes above winnings line and the $EV Diff is positive.
So in a losing session, provided you had bad beats, you'll be below your EV and in a winning session, provided you didn't suck out on someone, you'll be above EV. Over time if you are a winning player you'll continue to be above EV, the gaps between EV and winnings line will decrease or increase (as it has in my graph).
So basically people who are winning and have their EV in negative are playing bad. People losing and their EV going in positive would be running very unlucky.
But people who have a positive EV and positive winnings, well what can you say about them and how relevant is the EV/winrate comparison in their case?
