Hero (BTN): $52.68 (105.4 bb)
SB: $55.02 (110 bb)
BB: $60.39 (120.8 bb)
UTG+1: $47.99 (96 bb)
UTG+2: $80.90 (161.8 bb)
MP1: $45.45 (90.9 bb)
MP2: $61.96 (123.9 bb)
MP3: $54.46 (108.9 bb)
CO: $32.89 (65.8 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with 5
6
2 folds, MP1 calls $0.50, MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $2, CO folds, Hero calls $2, SB folds, BB calls $1.50, MP1 calls $1.50
Flop: ($8.25) 3
4 9
(4 players)
BB checks, MP1 bets $8.25, MP3 folds, Hero calls $8.25, BB folds
Turn: ($24.75) T (2 players)
MP1 bets $24.75, Hero calls $24.75
MP1 is one of my biggest "clients" on this site, plays every day and every day like a mega fish. Stats are 32/3/0.4 AF=1.1
On the flop I know he has something when he donks it like that. He is going to stack off if I hit my OESD + I have the backdoor too. I never consider raising this guy, because he is never folding a hand like AJ.
On the turn I have the 15 outs, but he bets pot again, leaving 10.45$ behind. I have no fold equity against this guy, so raising is out of the question. I call because I know he is calling the last 10.45$ if I hit on the river. If I don't hit, my plan is to fold or check behind :(. I save the 10$ if I miss and get it if I hit.
The only thing that worries me is the possibility of the dirty outs to the flush if he has a set.
Is there anything wrong with my line?