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NL200 KTo, top2 facing river c/r

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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Replayer
SB ($35.65)
BB ($396)
UTG ($368)
UTG+1 ($200)
Hero ($220)
BTN ($219)

Dealt to Hero T♥ K♠

fold, fold, Hero raises to $6, fold, fold, BB calls $4

FLOP ($13) K♥ 5♣ 7♦

BB checks, Hero bets $8, BB calls $8

TURN ($29) K♥ 5♣ 7♦ 3♦

BB checks, Hero bets $19, BB calls $19

RIVER ($67) K♥ 5♣ 7♦ 3♦ T♦

BB checks, Hero bets $42, BB raises to $117, Hero?

villain: 24/2/1/30 (VPIP/PFR/AF/WTS) - 300 hands

villain seemed to be the typical passive fit or fold fish w/ a 65% fold to flop cbet over a 34 sample. I had no reads, but judging from the stats and the fact that he saw very few flops and turns makes me think he is pretty passive and not very bluffhappy.

So would you fold here? If yes/no what is the bottom of your callingrange?


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5 replies
Ico0o
Joined: 28.07.2010

It's an easy fold, because i never expect this kinda villain raises weaker 2 pairs on this river (flush hits).

Fishes all gets scared by anything.


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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

Yeah, it probably is an easy fold, I just starting to get a bit paranoid as I have had to make these laydowns a ton lately :P

Anyways, this hand may be an easy fold, but how about if we had a set in the same spot?


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Ico0o
Joined: 28.07.2010

Probably we have just KK/33/77 sets, so i'd call only with KK set.
If i have K of diamonds i'd snapcall with 2 pair, because flushes in his range are unlikely then and it's unlikely to raise sets, when he is scared from the flush.

But i think if we had Kd, this scenario never gonna happen.


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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

bump


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Kd xD A5/45/56dd all very possible/extremely likely I'd say.

Given your read that he is passive and folding to more than av flop/turn cbets most of the "air" he'd bluff the river with has already been folded and as he isn't the type/there is absolutley no need to bluff witth pairs here I think this is a fold.

Slight worry he is value jamming worse but not sure what other two pairs he can have except for T7.


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