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[FR] AQs on a drawheavy board

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kipperkalle
Joined: 12.04.2009

Pretty lousy flop for this hand. Called flop based on overcards outs. Thought he might have QQ, KK, AK type of hand (tag'ish opponent).

Called turn because of A overcard outs and T outs. Pretty optimistic, eh?

Was I giving myself too many outs actually? Not sure if he had flush on the flop, but one of my Ace and one of my Ten outs should've been discarded. I might have been drawing dead on the turn already if not sooner.

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.05/$0.1 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A:c, Q:c.
3 folds, MP2 raises, Hero 3-Bets, 4 folds, MP2 caps, Hero calls.

Flop: (9.4 SB) J:d, 9:d, 5:d (2 players)
MP2 bets, Hero calls.

Turn: (5.7 BB) K:h (2 players)
MP2 bets, Hero calls.

River: (7.7 BB) 7:h (2 players)
MP2 bets, Hero folds, MP2 gets uncalled bet back.

Final Pot: 7.7 BB.


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3 replies
Rantrave
Joined: 19.04.2009

If you think he is Tag oponent then


Stół: J♦9♦5♦
       Equity  Wygrana  Podział
MP2    11.66%    9.99%    1.68% { AcQc }
MP3    88.34%   86.66%    1.68% { TT+, AKs, AKo }

You have easy fold flop.

Even if he have quite more hands in his capping range


Stół: J♦9♦5♦
       Equity  Wygrana  Podział
MP2    15.82%    8.35%    7.46% { AcQc }
MP3    84.18%   76.72%    7.46% { 99+, AJs+, AJo+ }

Still easy fold.


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kipperkalle
Joined: 12.04.2009

oh bummer, thanks


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Dawnfall26
Joined: 30.07.2008

Hi!

Should be quite snappy flop fold vs at somewhat decent oponent unless u plan on making a move(which I would not recommend with this hand).flop is just terrible for your equity and calling on your outs is not really possible as you for fact that you have 3max and even these are ofter coutered by flushes,AA,made flush.Not a terrible call but fold for sure is better.

Turn is a must fold now.1:6,5 is never enough for very tained gutshot outs.


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