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Top and bottom pair against a postflop agressive player

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Gothicrow
Joined: 15.11.2010

Hi.

The opponent is a 49/12 in 400 hands. cbet flop 41, cbet turn 83, cbet river 100, WTSD 16. steal from CO 20. fold to cbet 71 (63 in 3bet pot). 3bet 2.9, fold to 3bet 58.

Preflop I just call because both blinds were tight, so the probability of being HU post flop was high. Was it better to do anything else?

On flop my plan was to call him down and let him bluff.

The turn completes a draw, and in case he has the str8 I have odds to call. But it didn't complete the other str8 draw (the most probably). So I don't know if my call is correct or it´s better to shove. What do you think? he doesn't fold anything better than my hand, but he calls with worse; (and I have outs if he has a set, the str8 or K9)

The river practically blanks (completes a backdoor str8, but that card is not so important, I think), but now he shoves almost the pot, he probably has a set, 68 or a busted draw, I consumed the time bank and ended folding, because at this level when a player bets pot on the river, 85% of the time is a strong hand (in my short experience).

I have the impression that I made a mistake somewere in the hand, but I can't decide where was it, pre or post flop.

Thanks!

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 5 Players

MP: $33.52 (134.1 bb)
CO: $19.87 (79.5 bb)
Hero (BTN): $25 (100 bb)
SB: $11.09 (44.4 bb)
BB: $25.87 (103.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with K♥ T♦ 7♦ J♠
MP folds, CO raises to $0.85, Hero calls $0.85, 2 folds

Flop: ($2.05) K♦ 7♣ 9♠ (2 players)
CO bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50

Turn: ($5.05) 5♦ (2 players)
CO bets $4.50, Hero calls $4.50

River: ($14.05) 3♥ (2 players)
CO bets $13.02, Hero folds


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3 replies

very interesting hand :).

I think that preflop is very marginal, I would definitely muck it... However, if you know how to play well IP, you can probably play it.

It's a pretty dry flop and you can expect him to bet his whole range here more or less.

By calling flop, he knows that you don't have a set or top two pair as you would have most likely raised him with a hand like that. So you pretty much have a draw, Kxxx or maybe a hand like 5678, it's unlikely that you will float with a completely trashy hand on this flop.

Now, on the turn, it's pretty interesting. He bets 90% of the pot, which I think is not a pure bluff often, especially since the main draw completes. I don't think he would bluff bet this high, it makes way more sense that he has a decent made hand and that he doesn't want you to see a cheap river in case you've picked up a flush draw on the turn.

Therefore, I would most likely fold on the turn. Since the river blanks and he bets almost full pot, I think you're most likely beat here - there aren't all that many hands that you call his big turn bet with. Of course, this could always be a pure bluff, but I think that he doesn't have to bet that much on the turn or river to make you fold, so it's unlikely.

I hope that my interpretations wasn't a complete kick in the dark .


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Gothicrow
Joined: 15.11.2010

Hi Schnitzelfisch.

The issue here is that he could have air in all the hand, he cbets flop that is not so wet, and his size in the turn could be done with air too, most of the players that barrels a lot, bet big with most of his range, (and usually bet or raise smaller when they have the nuts or something really strong). I could be wrong interpreting this bet sizes, but is what I have seen in this type of players.

So in the turn he could have AA, 2 pair, any set, any draw like TJQ (may be with a pair) or 789T, 79TJ, 8TJ... cbet flop with almost air and barrel turn with a flush draw (probably with a pair)... I don't know... a lot of things, I don't like how I played it lol.


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

Outside straight draw and 2 pair, pretty good flop, I wouldn't blame you for raising here.

On the turn even against the nuts we have too much equity with straight draw, full house draw and flush draw.

board: Kd 7c 9s 5d
Kh Td Js 7d 40.79%
86** 59.21%

It's a clear call turn fold river unimproved situation.


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