Nl10 Sh: 99 set

Joined: 21.04.2012

04.07.2012, 04:05 0

$0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
Hero (UTG) ($10) 100bb
UTG+1 ($23.05) 231bb
CO ($10) 100bb
BTN ($17.04) 170bb
SB ($10) 100bb
BB ($18.05) 181bb

Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 6 players) Hero is UTG 9♦ 9♠
Hero raises to $0.30, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.30, 1 fold, BB calls $0.20

Flop: Q♥ 10:diamond: 9♥ ($0.95, 3 players)
BB bets $2.60, Hero calls $2.60, BTN folds

Turn: 3♠ ($6.15, 2 players)
BB bets $3.10, Hero calls $3.10

River: 2♠ ($12.35, 2 players)
BB bets $4, Hero goes all-in $4

BB stats:

There's two hands in his range what win KJ and J8, others is excluded.

What about that enourmous donk bet on flop, can I find fold on flop with set vs loose aggro?

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3 replies

_Anonymous_

04.07.2012, 13:51 0

Hi,

your hand is too strong and his range are worse hands than yours. I would likely also called flop and then shove on blank turn card. Try not to make too many hero folds against 43/13 players- they would often bluff with nothing.

best regards,

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Huricano

Joined: 29.08.2010

Posts: 64

04.07.2012, 13:53 0

This is standard raise/stack off, you can't just call on such a draw heavy board.
Guy with this stats can have easilly any flushdraw ( :heart: :heart:), Jx open-enders, OESD+pair (QJ,JT,J8), TP(AQ,KQ),2P(QT,Q9,T9) and 87 and...
Please notice that only KJ and J8 beats you (and u still have ~35% eq) and maybe a QQ or TT if he somehow decide to just call with them.

93,060 games 0.010 secs 9,306,000 games/sec

Board: Qh Td 9h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 39.996% 38.97% 01.03% 36265 955.50 { TT, AhTh, KJs+, KhTh, Kh9h, Kh8h, Q9s+, Qh8h, Qh7h, J8s+, Jh7h, T9s, KJo+, Q9o+, J8o+, T9o }
Hand 1: 60.004% 58.98% 01.03% 54884 955.50 { 9d9s }

Turn blank doesn't really help you:

4,092 games 0.000 secs 818,400 games/sec

Board: Qh Td 9h 3s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 38.587% 38.59% 00.00% 1579 0.00 { TT, KJs+, KhTh, Kh9h, Kh8h, Q9s+, Qh8h, Qh7h, J8s+, Jh7h, T9s, KJo+, Q9o+, J8o+, T9o }
Hand 1: 61.413% 61.41% 00.00% 2513 0.00 { 9d9s }

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veriz

Joined: 20.07.2008

Posts: 64,009

05.07.2012, 12:43 0

Originally posted by Huricano
This is standard raise/stack off, you can't just call on such a draw heavy board.
Guy with this stats can have easilly any flushdraw ( :heart:), Jx open-enders, OESD+pair (QJ,JT,J8), TP(AQ,KQ),2P(QT,Q9,T9) and 87 and...
Please notice that only KJ and J8 beats you (and u still have ~35% eq) and maybe a QQ or TT if he somehow decide to just call with them.

93,060 games 0.010 secs 9,306,000 games/sec

Board: Qh Td 9h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 39.996% 38.97% 01.03% 36265 955.50 { TT, AhTh, KJs+, KhTh, Kh9h, Kh8h, Q9s+, Qh8h, Qh7h, J8s+, Jh7h, T9s, KJo+, Q9o+, J8o+, T9o }
Hand 1: 60.004% 58.98% 01.03% 54884 955.50 { 9d9s }

Turn blank doesn't really help you:

4,092 games 0.000 secs 818,400 games/sec

Board: Qh Td 9h 3s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 38.587% 38.59% 00.00% 1579 0.00 { TT, KJs+, KhTh, Kh9h, Kh8h, Q9s+, Qh8h, Qh7h, J8s+, Jh7h, T9s, KJo+, Q9o+, J8o+, T9o }
Hand 1: 61.413% 61.41% 00.00% 2513 0.00 { 9d9s }

In standard situations I would agree with that but as you see the guy made a huge overbet, which most likely is also the reason for Hero to Call. Even if you Call it there the guy behind us wont get the implied odds to draw with his FD/SD or whatsoever.

Although raising the turn is kinda must.

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