Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $150(BB) Replayer
SB ($4,435)
Hero ($3,785)
BTN ($780)
Dealt to Hero A♣ A♦
fold, SB raises to $4,435 (AI), Hero calls $3,635 (AI)
FLOP ($7,570) Q♦ Q♥ 9♦
TURN ($7,570) Q♦ Q♥ 9♦ T♣
RIVER ($7,570) Q♦ Q♥ 9♦ T♣ 2♣
SB shows T♠ 6♠
(Pre 19%, Flop 5.2%, Turn 4.5%)
Villain is an excellent winning reg. BU is a slightly losing rakeback reg. Maybe this is a non-hand, but despite this shove being 'good' from a Nash pov, I can't help feeling it's kinda unecessary.
What do you reckon? Assuming I don't make mistakes and call only with the appropriate TT+ range then he only runs into a hand 2.26% of the time. Hence he can shove ATC here.
But that's only optimal if I'm exploiting his raises by 3b really wide. And why would I given BU has 5bb? Am I being reverse results orientated?
If anyone likes villain's shove, please explain why.
Thanks