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11$ MTT - A9o

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PaPi92
Joined: 17.02.2011
BlackMember

22/15/1.5-3b/fold to flop cbet-75(4)/agr freq F-30(30) / T-42(19) / R-23(13), didn`t do check/raise yet for 150 hands.
How do you play here?
What hands do you think he will call on the flop?
I think if he call flop and turn he don`t have 77,88 or two pairs.
Bet turn and planning to bluff on some river cards? The weakness of bet turn is that villain can check/push and I should fold a hand with not less equility. If bet turn, on which river cards I can jam?

Poker Stars $10+$1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t100/t200 Blinds + t25 - 9 players - View hand 1898260
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: t3332 M = 6.35
UTG+1: t8816 M = 16.79
UTG+2: t3582 M = 6.82
MP1: t5873 M = 11.19
MP2: t4130 M = 7.87
CO: t2444 M = 4.66
Hero (BTN): t6680 M = 12.72
SB: t6537 M = 12.45
BB: t1600 M = 3.05

Pre Flop: (t525) Hero is BTN with A :spade: 9 :diamond:
6 folds, Hero raises to t400, SB calls t300, 1 fold

Flop: (t1225) 8 :diamond: 7 :heart: T :club: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets t575, SB calls t575

Turn: (t2375) 3 :heart: (2 players)
SB checks, Hero ???


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3 replies
chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007
Elite Grinder

Hi all,

If you bet the turn on this board you should shove absolutely every river card except a T probably (and A as well, as I think it's too thin), as villain is likely to have a pair + straight draw hand (so doesn't fold the turn ever).

I don't like that though. It's too high variance a bluff in a situation where you have not enough information about our opponent's exact holding. I'd prefer just checking back the turn and trying to hit.


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PaPi92 Topic starter
PaPi92
Joined: 17.02.2011
BlackMember

I checked back the turn here, but I was unsure, is that better than bet. Bet on the turn hava other disadvantage, because villain can play check/push on the turn and I should fold a hand with good equility.


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007
Elite Grinder

Originally posted by PaPi92
I checked back the turn here, but I was unsure, is that better than bet. Bet on the turn hava other disadvantage, because villain can play check/push on the turn and I should fold a hand with good equility.

That's indeed also a consideration. That said I don't generally think people c/p turn often enough, so I don't mind taking that risk. Still, check back and realise equity is best :).


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