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nl2 AJ

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prisly87
Joined: 19.05.2009

45 hands 55/10

Easy call right?

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.01/$0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)

Known players:
[tg]BB$0.80:///////;MP1$0.76:///////;MP2$2.24:///////;MP3 (Hero)$3.89:///////;CO$1.74:///////;BU$2.13:///////;SB$2.08:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with J:c, A:h.
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.08, CO calls $0.08, 3 folds, 2 folds, BB folds.

Flop: ($0.19) K:c, 6:c, A:c (2 players)
Hero bets $0.14, CO raises to $1.66(All-In),Hero ?


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3 replies
veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Hello prisly87,

If you say it's easy Call then what makes you think that? What do you think the guy has which shoves? :P Not I am saying it's wrong but lets see what kind of range do you think he shoves.

Best Regards.


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prisly87
Joined: 19.05.2009

Ok let' see. :)

Flop: AcKc6c

Me: AhJc
Villain: 66,A6s,K6s,QcJc,JcTc,Tc9c,9c8c,8c7c,7c6c,6c5c,A6o,K6o,AdQc,AsQc,KdQh,KdQs,
KhQd,KsQd,KcQd,QcJd,QcJh,QcJs,QcTd,QcTh,QcTs,Qc9d,Qc9h,Qc9s,Qc8d,Qc8h,
Qc8s

Ev:

Me: 53,36 %
Villain: 46.54 %

If we inculde slowpayed AA,KK, AK

Me: 49.30%
Villain:50.70%

So, in worst case i am flipping.

Correct? :f_cool:


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veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Originally posted by prisly87
Ok let' see. :)

Flop: AcKc6c

Me: AhJc
Villain: 66,A6s,K6s,QcJc,JcTc,Tc9c,9c8c,8c7c,7c6c,6c5c,A6o,K6o,AdQc,AsQc,KdQh,KdQs,
KhQd,KsQd,KcQd,QcJd,QcJh,QcJs,QcTd,QcTh,QcTs,Qc9d,Qc9h,Qc9s,Qc8d,Qc8h,
Qc8s

Ev:

Me: 53,36 %
Villain: 46.54 %

If we inculde slowpayed AA,KK, AK

Me: 49.30%
Villain:50.70%

So, in worst case i am flipping.

Correct? :f_cool:
Well, we could easily edit a bit the ranges and stuff, like for example unless he is super loose you wont see K6 hand or something similar. Also I am not sure even how often the guy is going to shove with just FD in those spots, he would rather play it passively unless it's a pair+FD. Which means maybe KxQ:c. We need ~45% equity to make it profitable and for example for this range which might be realistic:

Board: A♣K♣6♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    59.30%  58.31%   0.99% { 66, AKs, A6s, K6s, QcJc, JcTc, Tc9c, 9c8c, 8c7c, 7c6c, 6c5c, AKo, A6o, AdQc, AsQc, KdQc, KhQc, KsQc }
MP3    40.70%  39.71%   0.99% { AhJc }

we ain't really getting it. Unless we of course put into the range which you actually set up. So which means actually it doesn't seem to be easy call. Even with your equities as you show it's kinda near break-even.


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