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nl10 AQ 3barrel drawy board

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xenomorphic
Joined: 29.12.2010

villain is pretty tight but i just think he raises at some point if he has a srong hand so i decided to fire 3 and on that blank river i expected him to fold a fair amount.. true i'm not repping much but i guess i have a ton of overpairs that play this way... what do you think? will i see a river raise here a lot from straights and sets? and i should have bet bigger i think on almost every street...

Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $10.40 (104 bb)
BB: $13.54 (135.4 bb)
CO: $6.31 (63.1 bb)
UTG: $4.86 (48.6 bb)
Hero (MP): $20.47 (204.7 bb)
SB: $4 (40 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A Q
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.30, CO folds, BTN calls $0.30, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.75) 5 4 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.45, BTN calls $0.45

Turn: ($1.65) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.05, BTN calls $1.05

River: ($3.75) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.85, BTN folds

Results:

Spoiler

$3.75 pot ($0.18 rake)
Final Board: 5 4 7 9 2
BTN mucked and lost (-$1.80 net)
Hero mucked A Q and won $3.57 ($1.77 net)


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Hello,

Preflop is fine.

I don't like cbetting on this board since it's quite drawy and we are OOP.

As played, the 9c on the turn puts in some other draws as well and connects with the board quite well, so I'd give up here.

As played, I think your bet on the river is fine.
I expect him to raise sets earlier and considering our line it would be pretty hard for him to call us down with a hand like 88.
Also considering he plays pretty tight we could expect a pretty straight-forward play from him and I really don't see him calling with pretty much anything here although all the draws miss.

Best,
Plamen


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