AK all in

19.01.2013, 08:12 0

Hi ! Tell me your opinion about this hand pls ! I just want to add that villain has over a very small sample ( 12 hands ) VP 50 PF 42 AG 4.0 and 3bet 33.3. Thank you !

IPoker, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $1.77 (35.4 bb)
UTG: $7.44 (148.8 bb)
MP: $7.40 (148 bb)
CO: $9.68 (193.6 bb)
Hero (BTN): $7.38 (147.6 bb)
SB: $11.21 (224.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with K A
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.20, CO calls $0.20, Hero raises to $0.80, 2 folds, MP raises to $2.67, CO folds, Hero raises to $7.38 and is all-in, MP calls $4.71

Flop: ($15.03) 4 6 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: ($15.03) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: ($15.03) 7 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$15.03 pot ($0.75 rake)
Final Board: 4 6 2 2 7
MP showed T T and won $14.28 ($6.90 net)
Hero mucked K A and lost (-$7.38 net)

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4 replies

mbml

Joined: 27.11.2008

Posts: 20,957

19.01.2013, 10:14 0

I think it's close.

I would like to point out that you have very little fold equity though, given villain's 4bet size. And you are 150bb deep.

It could very well be a fold given these factors. But he seems really aggro from that small sample and if he does make this play with TT/AQ, folding AK here would end up being a huge mistake. You would have 49% equity against his 4bet/call range of TT+/AQ+, and you are a slight underdog if I only include TT+/AK (40%). I think your fold equity here is 20%-25%at the very most.

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_Anonymous_

19.01.2013, 11:33 0

i would never call this on NL5 without frther reads on villain. u are 150BB deep, u rarely get it in vs something else than KK+ here.

def 3bet pre

seeing his 4b sizing we have to assume he is a fish, fish dont 4b light pre, + u have no fold equity

im actually surprised to see TT

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XZaar

Joined: 22.01.2010

Posts: 129

19.01.2013, 11:43 0

I think its standard and showing TT only proves that!

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_Anonymous_

20.01.2013, 01:22 0

Normally I don't agree with shoving AK in ring games with that stack. I know my folding equity was almost nonexistent ( and I don't expect and want a player like him to fold ) but when I shoved ( even having a small sample of hands ) I was pretty sure that we are flipping or that I am 60% to 70% favorite. Unluckily it was a flip which ended up badly for me. I think that if I could play the hand again, I would make the same play. Thank you for your answers guys !

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