NL10 AJs river?

Board: J♥J♣3♦ T♥ 6♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    45.24%  38.10%   7.14% { AsJs }
MP3    54.76%  47.62%   7.14% { 66, 33, AJs, KJs, QJs, JTs, AhTh, KhTh, QhTh, Ah3h, AJo, KJo, QJo, JTo }

Now i think a call would be good.

Hi Axeboy,

Preflop: looks fine

Postflop: Why cbet so small? You should go for a bigger valuebet as we need to get a lot of money in there to play for stacks.

As played the river fold is a bit tight given the odds however it's possible that villain only raises flushes. He can have some bluffs and most likely not many Jx hands. WHy did you give him such a wide range in your equilab?

Your villain is so passive that on river I'd go for bet-fold. He won't be raising you with trips here, it's FH or Flush IMO. Unless his riverAFQ is exceptionally high.

Thanks Bogdan.

WHy did you give him such a wide range in your equilab?
Because he's a fish. And these are, I think, the hands that he will call a raise preflop.
I cbetted small to keep him in the pot, as I saw that they usually fold to a cbet on this kind of board.

What Jx you think he has on the river?

Originally posted by axeboy90
Thanks Bogdan.

WHy did you give him such a wide range in your equilab?
Because he's a fish. And these are, I think, the hands that he will call a raise preflop.
I cbetted small to keep him in the pot, as I saw that they usually fold to a cbet on this kind of board.

What Jx you think he has on the river?

These are the boards that fish don't like to fold on much that's why we don't bluff them often.

It's very dry and even overcards can easily call (from most fish).'

So we should bet bigger.

To be honest I doubt that he raises many Jx on the river given how the hand got played. It looks like he has flushes or nothing so it comes down to how much nothing we think he has. So as a default folding is ok but we may have induced him to bluffs with our bet sizings.